Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 13/11, 02:15

Prediction: Salvadorenos vs A.Lobos BKB

Team pages: Salvadorenos · A.Lobos BKB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

149.3Total

Salvadorenos71.6

A.Lobos BKB77.7

1X2

33% 67%

Salvadorenos A.Lobos BKB

Recent form · 10 last

Salvadorenos 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLLL

A.Lobos BKB 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Salvadorenos 0–6 A.Lobos BKB (6 last)

A.Lobos BKB81-54Salvadorenos
A.Lobos BKB106-68Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos78-80A.Lobos BKB
Salvadorenos56-80A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB93-59Salvadorenos
A.Lobos BKB73-51Salvadorenos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1468 · A.Lobos BKB 1567

	Salvadorenos	A.Lobos BKB
Our model	49%	51%
Market	29%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 149.3 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points149.3Salvadorenos 71.6 · A.Lobos BKB 77.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours A.Lobos BKB (rating 1468 vs 1567).
A.Lobos BKB is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Salvadorenos	A.Lobos BKB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.5 / 80.1	75.8 / 64.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.4 / 84.8	89 / 72
Est. result	72	78

Est. total149.3

Line O/U148.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.20

21.31

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.87

2 (-5.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 148.51.83

Under 148.51.83

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 148.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	1.40 → 1.31▼	Bet365 1.31

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 12.9%

Time*	1	2
14:46 +1’	2.75	1.40
15:39 +8’	3.20▲	1.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:34 +14’	2.74	1.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 0–0–6 A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/11/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	81-54	Salvadorenos
03/11/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	106-68	Salvadorenos
12/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	78-80	A.Lobos BKB
29/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	56-80	A.Lobos BKB
22/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	93-59	Salvadorenos
08/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	73-51	Salvadorenos

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	20	19	1	1903	1502	39
2	Santa Ana BC	21	16	5	1830	1725	37
3	A.Lobos BKB	21	15	6	1643	1466	36
4	Cojutepeque	20	12	8	1538	1407	32
5	Salvadorenos	21	9	12	1610	1643	30
6	CD Aguila	20	10	10	1635	1611	30
7	San Salvador	21	9	12	1812	1852	30
8	Brujos Izalco	20	8	12	1635	1649	28
9	Santa Tecla	20	7	13	1547	1620	27
10	Santiagueno	20	5	15	1495	1862	25
11	Ahuachapan	20	2	18	1599	1910	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salvadorenos	A.Lobos BKB
Ahuachapan	95-78 W	99-84 W
Brujos Izalco	80-75 W	62-56 W
San Salvador	93-100 L	67-68 L
Santiagueno	75-69 W	90-79 W
Cojutepeque	72-59 W	51-41 W
Santa Tecla	78-83 L	65-70 L
Santa Ana BC	60-66 L	69-75 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: A.Lobos BKB (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salvadorenos

LLWWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	54-81	L
05/11	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-84	L
03/11	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-106	L
26/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	95-78	W
24/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-75	W
22/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-100	L
16/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-69	W
14/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-59	W
12/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-83	L
10/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-66	L

A.Lobos BKB

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-54	W
05/11	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-75	L
03/11	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	106-68	W
25/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-79	W
23/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	99-84	W
21/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-56	W
17/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	51-41	W
15/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-68	L
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-52	W
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs A.Lobos BKB?

Our model gives 67% to A.Lobos BKB.

How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs A.Lobos BKB?

The model estimates 149.3 total points (Salvadorenos 71.6 · A.Lobos BKB 77.7).