Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 14/11, 02:15

Prediction: CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque

Team pages: CD Aguila · Cojutepeque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.6Total

CD Aguila72.3

Cojutepeque79.3

1X2

31% 69%

CD Aguila Cojutepeque

Markets

Over 148.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Aguila 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWWLL

Cojutepeque 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Aguila 3–3 Cojutepeque (6 last)

Cojutepeque85-62CD Aguila
CD Aguila68-87Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque66-64CD Aguila
CD Aguila97-91Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque62-73CD Aguila
CD Aguila98-66Cojutepeque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1475 · Cojutepeque 1532

	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Our model	55%	45%
Market	26%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 151.6 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.6CD Aguila 72.3 · Cojutepeque 79.3

Over / Under 148.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~155.3 pts · strength 7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cojutepeque (rating 1475 vs 1532).
Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (69% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.3 / 84.5	73.8 / 70
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 83.6	76.4 / 71.2
Est. result	72	79

Est. total151.6

Line O/U148.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.65

21.26

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 148.51.83

Under 148.51.83

Diff.: 5.3 · Est. total: 153.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.65 → 3.65	Bet365 3.65
2	1.26 → 1.26	Bet365 1.26

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 14.4%

Time*	1	2
17:49	3.65	1.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:45 +4’	3.60	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 3–0–3 Cojutepeque

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/11/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	85-62	CD Aguila
28/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	68-87	Cojutepeque
27/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	66-64	CD Aguila
09/11/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	97-91	Cojutepeque
23/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	62-73	CD Aguila
06/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	98-66	Cojutepeque

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	21	20	1	1991	1573	41
2	Santa Ana BC	21	16	5	1830	1725	37
3	A.Lobos BKB	21	15	6	1643	1466	36
4	Cojutepeque	21	13	8	1623	1469	34
5	CD Aguila	21	10	11	1697	1696	31
6	Salvadorenos	21	9	12	1610	1643	30
7	San Salvador	21	9	12	1812	1852	30
8	Brujos Izalco	21	8	13	1706	1737	29
9	Santa Tecla	20	7	13	1547	1620	27
10	Santiagueno	20	5	15	1495	1862	25
11	Ahuachapan	20	2	18	1599	1910	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Santiagueno	109-66 W	96-61 W
Ahuachapan	105-89 W	93-78 W
Santa Ana BC	80-77 W	67-82 L
Isidro Metapan	76-116 L	66-93 L
Santa Tecla	85-70 W	76-69 W
San Salvador	89-96 L	68-64 W
A.Lobos BKB	52-68 L	41-51 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

LLWLWLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/11	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-85	L
08/11	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-91	L
05/11	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	109-66	W
03/11	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-89	W
28/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-87	L
25/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-77	W
18/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-116	L
15/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-70	W
13/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-96	L
11/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	52-68	L

Cojutepeque

LLLWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/11	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-62	W
08/11	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-64	W
04/11	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-69	W
28/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	87-68	W
26/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-93	L
22/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-61	W
19/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-78	W
17/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	41-51	L
14/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	59-72	L
12/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-82	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque?

Our model gives 69% to Cojutepeque.

How many points are expected in CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque?

The model estimates 151.6 total points (CD Aguila 72.3 · Cojutepeque 79.3).

Over or under 148.5 points?

Recent history points to over 148.5 points (65%).