Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 26/10, 01:00
Prediction: Ahuachapan vs Salvadorenos
Team pages: Ahuachapan · Salvadorenos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.4Total
Ahuachapan77.4
Salvadorenos86
1X2
Ahuachapan
Salvadorenos
Recent form · 10 last
Ahuachapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Salvadorenos
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahuachapan
0–6
Salvadorenos
(6 last)
- Salvadorenos76-74Ahuachapan
- Salvadorenos77-75Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan81-85Salvadorenos
- Ahuachapan82-89Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos88-56Ahuachapan
- Salvadorenos85-79Ahuachapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahuachapan 1374 · Salvadorenos 1525
| Ahuachapan | Salvadorenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.4Ahuachapan 77.4 · Salvadorenos 86
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salvadorenos (rating 1374 vs 1525).
- Salvadorenos is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Salvadorenos: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ahuachapan | Salvadorenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.6 / 93.4 | 75.2 / 73.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84 / 99.4 | 79.6 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 77 | 86 |
Est. total163.4
Line O/U162.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahuachapan 0–0–6 Salvadorenos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 76-74 | Ahuachapan |
| 25/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 77-75 | Ahuachapan |
| 20/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 81-85 | Salvadorenos |
| 02/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 82-89 | Salvadorenos |
| 11/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 88-56 | Ahuachapan |
| 09/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 85-79 | Ahuachapan |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 17 | 16 | 1 | 1600 | 1278 | 33 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1387 | 1269 | 31 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1462 | 1353 | 30 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1313 | 1294 | 25 |
| 5 | San Salvador | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1475 | 1494 | 25 |
| 6 | Cojutepeque | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1241 | 1113 | 25 |
| 7 | CD Aguila | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1286 | 1278 | 24 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1300 | 1388 | 23 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1217 | 1446 | 21 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1265 | 1357 | 20 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1156 | 1432 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahuachapan | Salvadorenos |
|---|---|---|
| Cojutepeque | 78-93 L | 72-59 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 107-123 L | 80-75 W |
| Santa Tecla | 73-82 L | 78-83 L |
| Santiagueno | 87-91 L | 75-69 W |
| Santa Ana BC | 82-88 L | 60-66 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Salvadorenos (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahuachapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-99 | L |
| 19/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-93 | L |
| 15/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-100 | L |
| 11/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
107-123 | L |
| 07/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-82 | L |
| 05/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-91 | L |
| 30/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
92-86 | W |
| 28/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-76 | L |
| 26/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-88 | L |
| 24/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-96 | L |
Salvadorenos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
80-75 | W |
| 22/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-100 | L |
| 16/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-69 | W |
| 14/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-59 | W |
| 12/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-83 | L |
| 10/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
60-66 | L |
| 08/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-66 | W |
| 01/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-71 | L |
| 29/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-72 | L |
| 28/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahuachapan vs Salvadorenos?
Our model gives 73% to Salvadorenos.
How many points are expected in Ahuachapan vs Salvadorenos?
The model estimates 163.4 total points (Ahuachapan 77.4 · Salvadorenos 86).