Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 28/10, 02:15

Prediction: CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque

Team pages: CD Aguila · Cojutepeque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

150.4Total

CD Aguila76.1

Cojutepeque74.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

CD Aguila Cojutepeque

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CD Aguila 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLWLW

Cojutepeque 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

CD Aguila 5–1 Cojutepeque (6 last)

Cojutepeque66-64CD Aguila
CD Aguila97-91Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque62-73CD Aguila
CD Aguila98-66Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque78-97CD Aguila
CD Aguila80-65Cojutepeque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1484 · Cojutepeque 1490

	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Our model	62%	38%
Market	54%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 150.4 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points150.4CD Aguila 76.1 · Cojutepeque 74.3

Match keys

H2H favours CD Aguila: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.5 / 82.5	70.2 / 70.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.4 / 85.4	71 / 71
Est. result	76	74

Est. total150.4

Line O/U151.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.71

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 150.8

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 23:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.71▲	Bet365 1.71
2	2.65 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
18:27 +20’	1.43	2.65
19:30 +17’	1.74▲	1.95▼
20:41 +8’	1.43▼	2.65▲
21:34 +16’	1.59▲	2.22▼
22:29 +17’	1.43▼	2.65▲
23:43 +2’	1.71▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:41 +6’	1.48	2.27
21:49 +1’	1.50▲	2.32▲
22:32 +14’	1.71▲	1.97▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 5–0–1 Cojutepeque

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	66-64	CD Aguila
09/11/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	97-91	Cojutepeque
23/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	62-73	CD Aguila
06/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	98-66	Cojutepeque
30/03/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	78-97	CD Aguila
29/10/21 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	80-65	Cojutepeque

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	18	17	1	1693	1344	35
2	A.Lobos BKB	18	13	5	1387	1269	31
3	Santa Ana BC	17	13	4	1462	1353	30
4	Salvadorenos	18	9	9	1408	1372	27
5	Cojutepeque	17	9	8	1307	1206	26
6	San Salvador	18	8	10	1538	1565	26
7	Santa Tecla	18	7	11	1397	1454	25
8	CD Aguila	16	8	8	1286	1278	24
9	Santiagueno	17	5	12	1283	1543	22
10	Brujos Izalco	17	5	12	1336	1420	22
11	Ahuachapan	16	1	15	1234	1527	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Aguila	Cojutepeque
Santa Ana BC	80-77 W	67-82 L
Isidro Metapan	76-116 L	66-93 L
Santa Tecla	85-70 W	77-74 W
A.Lobos BKB	52-68 L	41-51 L
Salvadorenos	66-81 L	59-72 L
Brujos Izalco	68-76 L	75-76 L
Santiagueno	126-106 W	96-61 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cojutepeque (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

WLWLLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-77	W
18/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-116	L
15/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-70	W
13/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-96	L
11/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	52-68	L
08/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-81	L
04/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-76	L
03/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	126-106	W
27/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	64-66	L
25/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-69	W

Cojutepeque

WWWLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-93	L
22/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-61	W
19/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-78	W
17/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	41-51	L
14/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	59-72	L
12/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-82	L
09/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-76	L
03/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-74	W
29/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-53	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-64	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CD Aguila 55% · Cojutepeque 45%).

How many points are expected in CD Aguila vs Cojutepeque?

The model estimates 150.4 total points (CD Aguila 76.1 · Cojutepeque 74.3).