Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 26/10, 01:00

Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs Cojutepeque

Team pages: Isidro Metapan · Cojutepeque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.8Total

Isidro Metapan84.1

Cojutepeque67.7

1X2

88% 12%

Isidro Metapan Cojutepeque

Recent form · 10 last

Isidro Metapan 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Cojutepeque 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Isidro Metapan 6–0 Cojutepeque (6 last)

Cojutepeque60-67Isidro Metapan
Cojutepeque64-82Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan88-65Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque58-84Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan77-66Cojutepeque
Isidro Metapan111-76Cojutepeque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1661 · Cojutepeque 1455

	Isidro Metapan	Cojutepeque
Our model	85%	15%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 151.8 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.8Isidro Metapan 84.1 · Cojutepeque 67.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1661 vs 1455).
Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Isidro Metapan	Cojutepeque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	95.9 / 74.7	70.7 / 68.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98.8 / 77.2	71.2 / 68.8
Est. result	84	68

Est. total151.8

Line O/U156.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

28.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.83

2 (+16.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 156.51.83

Under 156.51.83

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 155.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.04▼	Bet365 1.04
2	7.25 → 8.75▲	Bet365 8.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 11.6%

Time*	1	2
16:46 +8’	1.08	7.25
21:29 +17’	1.04▼	8.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:52 +2’	1.02	6.15
20:04 +42’	1.03▲	7.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 6–0–0 Cojutepeque

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	60-67	Isidro Metapan
24/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	64-82	Isidro Metapan
18/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	88-65	Cojutepeque
27/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	58-84	Isidro Metapan
11/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	77-66	Cojutepeque
08/06/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	111-76	Cojutepeque

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	17	16	1	1600	1278	33
2	A.Lobos BKB	18	13	5	1387	1269	31
3	Santa Ana BC	17	13	4	1462	1353	30
4	Salvadorenos	17	8	9	1313	1294	25
5	San Salvador	17	8	9	1475	1494	25
6	Cojutepeque	16	9	7	1241	1113	25
7	CD Aguila	16	8	8	1286	1278	24
8	Santa Tecla	17	6	11	1300	1388	23
9	Santiagueno	16	5	11	1217	1446	21
10	Brujos Izalco	16	4	12	1265	1357	20
11	Ahuachapan	15	1	14	1156	1432	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Isidro Metapan	Cojutepeque
Santa Tecla	86-75 W	77-74 W
CD Aguila	116-76 W	66-64 W
Ahuachapan	100-78 W	93-78 W
Brujos Izalco	82-80 W	75-76 L
Santiagueno	89-48 W	96-61 W
A.Lobos BKB	77-61 W	41-51 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isidro Metapan

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	86-75	W
20/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	110-77	W
18/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	116-76	W
15/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	100-78	W
13/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-80	W
11/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-48	W
07/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-61	W
01/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	100-94	W
30/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-70	W
27/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-88	W

Cojutepeque

LWWWLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-61	W
19/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-78	W
17/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	41-51	L
14/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	59-72	L
12/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-82	L
09/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-76	L
03/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-74	W
29/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-53	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-64	W
24/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs Cojutepeque?

Our model gives 88% to Isidro Metapan.

How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs Cojutepeque?

The model estimates 151.8 total points (Isidro Metapan 84.1 · Cojutepeque 67.7).