Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 28/10, 02:15
Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs Ahuachapan
Team pages: Santa Ana BC · Ahuachapan
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.9Total
Santa Ana BC95
Ahuachapan77.8
1X2
Santa Ana BC
Ahuachapan
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Ana BC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Ahuachapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Ana BC
3–3
Ahuachapan
(6 last)
- Ahuachapan82-88Santa Ana BC
- Ahuachapan112-85Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC75-101Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan88-92Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC79-89Ahuachapan
- Santa Ana BC96-77Ahuachapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1570 · Ahuachapan 1402
| Santa Ana BC | Ahuachapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 82% | 18% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.9 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.9Santa Ana BC 95 · Ahuachapan 77.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Ana BC (rating 1570 vs 1402).
- Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (89% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santa Ana BC | Ahuachapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.4 / 76.7 | 83.3 / 93.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.4 / 73.6 | 85 / 102 |
| Est. result | 95 | 78 |
Est. total172.9
Line O/U176.5
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 3–0–3 Ahuachapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 82-88 | Santa Ana BC |
| 22/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 112-85 | Santa Ana BC |
| 16/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 75-101 | Ahuachapan |
| 06/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 88-92 | Santa Ana BC |
| 18/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 79-89 | Ahuachapan |
| 20/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 96-77 | Ahuachapan |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1693 | 1344 | 35 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1387 | 1269 | 31 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1462 | 1353 | 30 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1408 | 1372 | 27 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1307 | 1206 | 26 |
| 6 | San Salvador | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1538 | 1565 | 26 |
| 7 | Santa Tecla | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1397 | 1454 | 25 |
| 8 | CD Aguila | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1286 | 1278 | 24 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1283 | 1543 | 22 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1336 | 1420 | 22 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1234 | 1527 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Ana BC | Ahuachapan |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Tecla | 89-78 W | 73-82 L |
| Santiagueno | 76-60 W | 87-91 L |
| Brujos Izalco | 88-83 W | 107-123 L |
| Cojutepeque | 82-67 W | 78-93 L |
| Salvadorenos | 66-60 W | 78-95 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-80 | L |
| 20/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-78 | W |
| 18/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-60 | W |
| 16/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
88-83 | W |
| 12/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-67 | W |
| 10/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-60 | W |
| 08/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
91-93 | L |
| 29/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-68 | W |
| 28/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
115-96 | W |
| 26/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
88-82 | W |
Ahuachapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-95 | L |
| 23/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-99 | L |
| 19/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-93 | L |
| 15/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-100 | L |
| 11/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
107-123 | L |
| 07/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-82 | L |
| 05/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-91 | L |
| 30/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
92-86 | W |
| 28/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-76 | L |
| 26/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs Ahuachapan?
Our model gives 89% to Santa Ana BC.
How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs Ahuachapan?
The model estimates 172.9 total points (Santa Ana BC 95 · Ahuachapan 77.8).