Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 06/11, 02:15

Prediction: San Salvador vs Ahuachapan

Team pages: San Salvador · Ahuachapan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.5Total

San Salvador95.2

Ahuachapan81.3

1X2

84% 16%

San Salvador Ahuachapan

Markets

Under 183 points 67%

Recent form · 10 last

San Salvador 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Ahuachapan 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

San Salvador 6–0 Ahuachapan (6 last)

Ahuachapan86-109San Salvador
Ahuachapan78-97San Salvador
San Salvador94-61Ahuachapan
Ahuachapan90-121San Salvador
San Salvador106-83Ahuachapan
Ahuachapan79-127San Salvador

Model analysis

Estimated points176.5San Salvador 95.2 · Ahuachapan 81.3

Over / Under 183Under · 67%recent trend · ~166 pts · strength 17

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Salvador (rating 1556 vs 1354).
San Salvador is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours San Salvador: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	San Salvador	Ahuachapan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85 / 86.6	84.8 / 97.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.4 / 87.2	82.2 / 98
Est. result	95	81

Est. total176.5

Line O/U183

Diff.6.5

Over / Under33% / 67%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1831.85

Under 1831.88

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 176.8

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 02:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Pinn 1.01
2	6.70 → 20.33▲	Pinn 20.33

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 3.8%

Time*	1	2
21:57 +49’	1.01	6.70
23:40 +6’	1.01	6.74▲
00:31 +15’	1.01▼	6.80▲
01:22 +24’	1.01▲	8.10▲
02:30 +16’	1.01▼	20.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Salvador 6–0–0 Ahuachapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Ahuachapan	86-109	San Salvador
14/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Ahuachapan	78-97	San Salvador
12/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	94-61	Ahuachapan
17/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Ahuachapan	90-121	San Salvador
23/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	106-83	Ahuachapan
31/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Ahuachapan	79-127	San Salvador

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	19	18	1	1777	1424	37
2	A.Lobos BKB	20	14	6	1562	1412	34
3	Santa Ana BC	19	15	4	1635	1504	34
4	Cojutepeque	19	11	8	1470	1343	30
5	Salvadorenos	20	9	11	1556	1562	29
6	CD Aguila	19	10	9	1568	1520	29
7	Santa Tecla	19	7	12	1466	1530	26
8	San Salvador	18	8	10	1538	1565	26
9	Brujos Izalco	18	6	12	1454	1501	24
10	Santiagueno	19	5	14	1430	1770	24
11	Ahuachapan	18	1	17	1405	1730	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Salvador	Ahuachapan
Brujos Izalco	63-71 L	107-123 L
Salvadorenos	100-93 W	78-95 L
Isidro Metapan	77-110 L	78-100 L
Santa Tecla	99-95 W	73-82 L
A.Lobos BKB	68-67 W	84-99 L
CD Aguila	96-89 W	89-105 L
Santiagueno	94-74 W	87-91 L
Santa Ana BC	93-91 W	82-98 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: San Salvador (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Salvador

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	63-71	L
22/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	100-93	W
20/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-110	L
17/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	99-95	W
15/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-67	W
13/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-89	W
10/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-74	W
08/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-91	W
05/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-76	L
01/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-100	L

Ahuachapan

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-105	L
28/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-98	L
26/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-95	L
23/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-99	L
19/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-93	L
15/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-100	L
11/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	107-123	L
07/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-82	L
05/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	87-91	L
30/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	92-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Salvador vs Ahuachapan?

Our model gives 84% to San Salvador.

How many points are expected in San Salvador vs Ahuachapan?

The model estimates 176.5 total points (San Salvador 95.2 · Ahuachapan 81.3).

Over or under 183 points?

Recent history points to under 183 points (67%).