Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 05/11, 02:15

Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs A.Lobos BKB

Team pages: Santa Ana BC · A.Lobos BKB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.1Total

Santa Ana BC76.8

A.Lobos BKB74.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Santa Ana BC A.Lobos BKB

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Ana BC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

A.Lobos BKB 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Santa Ana BC 0–6 A.Lobos BKB (6 last)

A.Lobos BKB91-82Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC85-99A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB94-52Santa Ana BC
A.Lobos BKB69-64Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC63-72A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB65-53Santa Ana BC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1546 · A.Lobos BKB 1557

	Santa Ana BC	A.Lobos BKB
Our model	61%	39%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 151.1 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.1Santa Ana BC 76.8 · A.Lobos BKB 74.3

Match keys

H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Santa Ana BC	A.Lobos BKB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.4 / 76.7	72.2 / 65.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 76.6	81.6 / 65.6
Est. result	77	74

Est. total151.1

Line O/U153.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 153.51.83

Under 153.51.83

Diff.: 3.5 · Est. total: 150

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	2
16:40 +8’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:46 +2’	1.60	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 0–0–6 A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	91-82	Santa Ana BC
12/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	85-99	A.Lobos BKB
11/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	94-52	Santa Ana BC
24/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	69-64	Santa Ana BC
02/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	63-72	A.Lobos BKB
24/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	65-53	Santa Ana BC

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	18	17	1	1693	1344	35
2	A.Lobos BKB	19	14	5	1493	1337	33
3	Santa Ana BC	18	14	4	1560	1435	32
4	Salvadorenos	19	9	10	1476	1478	28
5	Cojutepeque	18	10	8	1394	1274	28
6	CD Aguila	18	9	9	1459	1454	27
7	San Salvador	18	8	10	1538	1565	26
8	Santa Tecla	18	7	11	1397	1454	25
9	Brujos Izalco	18	6	12	1454	1501	24
10	Santiagueno	18	5	13	1364	1661	23
11	Ahuachapan	18	1	17	1405	1730	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Ana BC	A.Lobos BKB
Ahuachapan	98-82 W	99-84 W
CD Aguila	77-80 L	68-52 W
Santa Tecla	89-78 W	65-70 L
Santiagueno	76-60 W	90-79 W
Brujos Izalco	88-83 W	62-56 W
Cojutepeque	82-67 W	51-41 W
Salvadorenos	66-60 W	106-68 W
San Salvador	91-93 L	67-68 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Ana BC

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	98-82	W
25/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-80	L
20/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-78	W
18/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-60	W
16/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
12/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-67	W
10/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-60	W
08/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-93	L
29/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-68	W
28/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	115-96	W

A.Lobos BKB

LLLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	106-68	W
25/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-79	W
23/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	99-84	W
21/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-56	W
17/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	51-41	W
15/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-68	L
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-52	W
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L
07/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-77	L
29/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-62	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs A.Lobos BKB?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Santa Ana BC 57% · A.Lobos BKB 43%).

How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs A.Lobos BKB?

The model estimates 151.1 total points (Santa Ana BC 76.8 · A.Lobos BKB 74.3).