Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 07/11, 02:15
Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs Santa Ana BC
Team pages: Isidro Metapan · Santa Ana BC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.5Total
Isidro Metapan90.8
Santa Ana BC75.7
1X2
Isidro Metapan
Santa Ana BC
Markets
Under 166.5 points 67%
Recent form · 10 last
Isidro Metapan
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Santa Ana BC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Isidro Metapan
5–1
Santa Ana BC
(6 last)
- Santa Ana BC90-89Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan104-74Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC91-105Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan100-54Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC75-104Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan101-77Santa Ana BC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1658 · Santa Ana BC 1532
| Isidro Metapan | Santa Ana BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.5 points · Bet365 line 166.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.5Isidro Metapan 90.8 · Santa Ana BC 75.7
Over / Under 166.5Under · 67%recent trend · ~153.3 pts · strength 13
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1658 vs 1532).
- Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (86% market).
- H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Isidro Metapan | Santa Ana BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 93.7 / 73.5 | 81.4 / 74 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 97.8 / 74.8 | 83 / 73.8 |
| Est. result | 91 | 76 |
Est. total166.5
Line O/U166.5
Diff.0
Over / Under33% / 67%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 5–0–1 Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 90-89 | Isidro Metapan |
| 15/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 104-74 | Santa Ana BC |
| 09/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 91-105 | Isidro Metapan |
| 26/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 100-54 | Santa Ana BC |
| 24/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 75-104 | Isidro Metapan |
| 22/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 101-77 | Santa Ana BC |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1777 | 1424 | 37 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1562 | 1412 | 34 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1635 | 1504 | 34 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1470 | 1343 | 30 |
| 5 | Salvadorenos | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1556 | 1562 | 29 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1568 | 1520 | 29 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1653 | 1667 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1547 | 1620 | 27 |
| 9 | Brujos Izalco | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1544 | 1582 | 26 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1430 | 1770 | 24 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 19 | 1 | 18 | 1507 | 1845 | 20 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Isidro Metapan | Santa Ana BC |
|---|---|---|
| Salvadorenos | 84-80 W | 66-60 W |
| Cojutepeque | 93-66 W | 82-67 W |
| Santa Tecla | 86-75 W | 89-78 W |
| San Salvador | 110-77 W | 91-93 L |
| CD Aguila | 116-76 W | 77-80 L |
| Ahuachapan | 100-78 W | 98-82 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 82-80 W | 88-83 W |
| Santiagueno | 89-48 W | 76-60 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 77-61 W | 75-69 W |
| Record vs common | 9 W 0 D 0 L | 7 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-80 | W |
| 26/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-66 | W |
| 23/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-75 | W |
| 20/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
110-77 | W |
| 18/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
116-76 | W |
| 15/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-78 | W |
| 13/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-80 | W |
| 11/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-48 | W |
| 07/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-61 | W |
| 01/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-94 | W |
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-69 | W |
| 28/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
98-82 | W |
| 25/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-80 | L |
| 20/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-78 | W |
| 18/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-60 | W |
| 16/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
88-83 | W |
| 12/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-67 | W |
| 10/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-60 | W |
| 08/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
91-93 | L |
| 29/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-68 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs Santa Ana BC?
Our model gives 86% to Isidro Metapan.
How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs Santa Ana BC?
The model estimates 166.5 total points (Isidro Metapan 90.8 · Santa Ana BC 75.7).
Over or under 166.5 points?
Recent history points to under 166.5 points (67%).