Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 05/11, 02:15
Prediction: Salvadorenos vs Isidro Metapan
Team pages: Salvadorenos · Isidro Metapan
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.5Total
Salvadorenos72.1
Isidro Metapan85.4
1X2
Salvadorenos
Isidro Metapan
Markets
Under 165.5 points 68%
Recent form · 10 last
Salvadorenos
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Isidro Metapan
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salvadorenos
0–6
Isidro Metapan
(6 last)
- Isidro Metapan83-77Salvadorenos
- Isidro Metapan80-62Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos72-79Isidro Metapan
- Salvadorenos54-79Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan77-49Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos59-67Isidro Metapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1479 · Isidro Metapan 1642
| Salvadorenos | Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.5 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.5Salvadorenos 72.1 · Isidro Metapan 85.4
Over / Under 165.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~159.7 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1479 vs 1642).
- Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Salvadorenos | Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.1 / 77.3 | 94.7 / 72.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.2 / 85.6 | 101 / 74.4 |
| Est. result | 72 | 85 |
Est. total157.5
Line O/U165.5
Diff.8
Over / Under32% / 68%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 0–0–6 Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 83-77 | Salvadorenos |
| 01/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 80-62 | Salvadorenos |
| 27/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 72-79 | Isidro Metapan |
| 02/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 54-79 | Isidro Metapan |
| 27/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 77-49 | Salvadorenos |
| 18/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 59-67 | Isidro Metapan |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1693 | 1344 | 35 |
| 2 | A.Lobos BKB | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1493 | 1337 | 33 |
| 3 | Santa Ana BC | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1560 | 1435 | 32 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1476 | 1478 | 28 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1394 | 1274 | 28 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1459 | 1454 | 27 |
| 7 | San Salvador | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1538 | 1565 | 26 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1397 | 1454 | 25 |
| 9 | Brujos Izalco | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1454 | 1501 | 24 |
| 10 | Santiagueno | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1364 | 1661 | 23 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 18 | 1 | 17 | 1405 | 1730 | 19 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salvadorenos | Isidro Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| A.Lobos BKB | 68-106 L | 77-61 W |
| Ahuachapan | 95-78 W | 100-78 W |
| Brujos Izalco | 80-75 W | 82-80 W |
| San Salvador | 93-100 L | 110-77 W |
| Santiagueno | 75-69 W | 89-48 W |
| Cojutepeque | 72-59 W | 93-66 W |
| Santa Tecla | 78-83 L | 86-75 W |
| CD Aguila | 81-66 W | 116-76 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 8 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvadorenos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-106 | L |
| 26/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
95-78 | W |
| 24/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
80-75 | W |
| 22/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-100 | L |
| 16/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-69 | W |
| 14/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-59 | W |
| 12/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-83 | L |
| 10/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
60-66 | L |
| 08/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-66 | W |
| 01/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-71 | L |
Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-66 | W |
| 23/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-75 | W |
| 20/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
110-77 | W |
| 18/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
116-76 | W |
| 15/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-78 | W |
| 13/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-80 | W |
| 11/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-48 | W |
| 07/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-61 | W |
| 01/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-94 | W |
| 30/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs Isidro Metapan?
Our model gives 83% to Isidro Metapan.
How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs Isidro Metapan?
The model estimates 157.5 total points (Salvadorenos 72.1 · Isidro Metapan 85.4).
Over or under 165.5 points?
Recent history points to under 165.5 points (68%).