Basketball · France Ligue A · 17/10, 20:30

Prediction: Limoges vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Team pages: Limoges · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.5Total

Limoges81

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne84.5

1X2

40% 60%

Limoges Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLWL

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Limoges 2–4 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne (6 last)

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne90-73Limoges
Limoges65-81Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Limoges84-81Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne84-69Limoges
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne77-66Limoges
Limoges79-68Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges 1473 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 1538

	Limoges	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Our model	54%	46%
Market	37%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 165.5 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.5Limoges 81 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 84.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne (rating 1473 vs 1538).
H2H favours Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.1 / 85.1	82.2 / 77.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.2 / 87.6	80.6 / 76.8
Est. result	81	85

Est. total165.5

Line O/U167.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 166.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	2
17:54 +60’	2.55	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges 2–0–4 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	90-73	Limoges
16/11/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	65-81	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
01/02/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	84-81	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
08/12/24 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	84-69	Limoges
04/02/24 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	77-66	Limoges
05/11/23 France Ligue A	Limoges	79-68	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	3	3	0	278	229
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	3	0	263	227
3	Paris	3	3	0	279	258
4	Roanne	3	2	1	251	258
5	Chalon	3	2	1	267	231
6	Le Mans	3	2	1	302	287
7	Cholet	3	2	1	255	252
8	Nanterre	3	2	1	262	230
9	Limoges	3	1	2	262	265
10	Strasbourg	3	1	2	243	254
11	Boulazac	3	1	2	238	241
12	Saint-Quentin	3	1	2	268	293
13	Bourg	3	1	2	266	267
14	Gravelines	3	0	3	235	274
15	Pau-Orthez	3	0	3	204	252
16	Nancy	3	0	3	216	271

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Bourg	71-92 L	91-77 W
Gravelines	93-64 W	70-65 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges

LWLWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Dijon France Ligue A	96-108	L
03/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	92-75	W
26/09	Chalon France Ligue A	74-82	L
16/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	84-101	L
07/05	Boulazac France Ligue A	80-72	W
02/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	105-83	W
19/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	97-79	W
15/04	Bourg France Ligue A	71-92	L
11/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	93-64	W
28/03	Nancy France Ligue A	89-95	L

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

WWWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Roanne France Ligue A	96-77	W
04/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	70-65	W
27/09	Cholet France Ligue A	97-85	W
30/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-80	L
28/05	Cholet France Ligue A	65-77	L
26/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-67	W
16/05	Paris France Ligue A	76-87	L
09/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	89-81	W
05/05	Bourg France Ligue A	91-77	W
01/05	Gravelines France Ligue A	88-79	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne?

Our model gives 60% to Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne.

How many points are expected in Limoges vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne?

The model estimates 165.5 total points (Limoges 81 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 84.5).