Basketball · France Ligue A · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Bourg vs Gravelines

Team pages: Bourg · Gravelines

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.6Total

Bourg91.8

Gravelines81.9

1X2

76% 24%

Bourg Gravelines

Recent form · 10 last

Bourg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLWLL

Gravelines 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Bourg 6–0 Gravelines (6 last)

Bourg95-78Gravelines
Gravelines75-84Bourg
Bourg94-84Gravelines
Gravelines75-83Bourg
Gravelines64-75Bourg
Bourg90-82Gravelines

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bourg 1418 · Gravelines 1389

	Bourg	Gravelines
Our model	66%	34%
Market	78%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 173.6 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +4.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.6Bourg 91.8 · Gravelines 81.9

Match keys

Bourg is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Bourg: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bourg	Gravelines
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88 / 89.4	80.2 / 90.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.8 / 94.4	79.2 / 92.2
Est. result	92	82

Est. total173.6

Line O/U169.5

Diff.4.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.83

2 (+9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 173.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
16:16 +32’	1.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bourg 6–0–0 Gravelines

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 France Ligue A	Bourg	95-78	Gravelines
14/12/25 France Ligue A	Gravelines	75-84	Bourg
08/03/25 France Ligue A	Bourg	94-84	Gravelines
27/10/24 France Ligue A	Gravelines	75-83	Bourg
30/04/24 France Ligue A	Gravelines	64-75	Bourg
30/09/23 France Ligue A	Bourg	90-82	Gravelines

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	4	4	0	370	312
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	4	0	360	321
3	Paris	4	4	0	369	333
4	Chalon	4	3	1	353	308
5	Le Mans	4	3	1	393	377
6	Roanne	4	2	2	321	330
7	Strasbourg	4	2	2	315	324
8	Cholet	4	2	2	332	338
9	Nanterre	4	2	2	327	310
10	Limoges	4	1	3	356	362
11	Pau-Orthez	4	1	3	306	341
12	Boulazac	4	1	3	313	331
13	Saint-Quentin	4	1	3	357	395
14	Nancy	4	1	3	296	336
15	Bourg	4	1	3	356	358
16	Gravelines	4	0	4	318	366

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bourg	Gravelines
Le Mans	90-91 L	97-103 L
Dijon	83-101 L	83-92 L
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	77-91 L	65-70 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gravelines (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bourg

LLWWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	90-91	L
10/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	73-84	L
03/10	Chalon France Ligue A	90-77	W
26/09	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	103-106	L
27/05	Monaco France Ligue A	103-114	L
25/05	Monaco France Ligue A	75-81	L
20/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	91-71	W
16/05	Gravelines France Ligue A	95-78	W
09/05	Dijon France Ligue A	83-101	L
05/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	77-91	L

Gravelines

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Dijon France Ligue A	83-92	L
10/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	73-101	L
04/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	65-70	L
26/09	Le Mans France Ligue A	97-103	L
16/05	Bourg France Ligue A	78-95	L
09/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-85	L
01/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	79-88	L
18/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	83-96	L
11/04	Limoges France Ligue A	64-93	L
05/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	100-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bourg vs Gravelines?

Our model gives 76% to Bourg.

How many points are expected in Bourg vs Gravelines?

The model estimates 173.6 total points (Bourg 91.8 · Gravelines 81.9).