Basketball · France Ligue A · 24/10, 20:30

Prediction: Nanterre vs Cholet

Team pages: Nanterre · Cholet

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.4Total

Nanterre84.3

Cholet78.1

1X2

67% 33%

Nanterre Cholet

Recent form · 10 last

Nanterre 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWLWL

Cholet 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Nanterre 2–4 Cholet (6 last)

Nanterre66-79Cholet
Cholet76-78Nanterre
Cholet88-78Nanterre
Nanterre84-97Cholet
Nanterre97-104Cholet
Nanterre90-86Cholet

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nanterre 1510 · Cholet 1555

	Nanterre	Cholet
Our model	56%	44%
Market	69%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 162.4 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.4Nanterre 84.3 · Cholet 78.1

Match keys

Nanterre is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nanterre	Cholet
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.6 / 80.3	83.3 / 85.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 79.8	84.6 / 86.4
Est. result	84	78

Est. total162.4

Line O/U164.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.34

23.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 164.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.34	Bet365 1.34
2	3.05 → 3.05	Bet365 3.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
16:20 +30’	1.34	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanterre 2–0–4 Cholet

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 France Ligue A	Nanterre	66-79	Cholet
14/11/25 France Ligue A	Cholet	76-78	Nanterre
12/04/25 France Ligue A	Cholet	88-78	Nanterre
11/02/25 Coupe De France	Nanterre	84-97	Cholet
21/12/24 France Ligue A	Nanterre	97-104	Cholet
31/08/24 Club Friendlies	Nanterre	90-86	Cholet

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	4	4	0	370	312
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	4	0	360	321
3	Paris	4	4	0	369	333
4	Chalon	4	3	1	353	308
5	Le Mans	4	3	1	393	377
6	Roanne	4	2	2	321	330
7	Strasbourg	4	2	2	315	324
8	Cholet	4	2	2	332	338
9	Nanterre	4	2	2	327	310
10	Limoges	4	1	3	356	362
11	Pau-Orthez	4	1	3	306	341
12	Boulazac	4	1	3	313	331
13	Saint-Quentin	4	1	3	357	395
14	Nancy	4	1	3	296	336
15	Bourg	4	1	3	356	358
16	Gravelines	4	0	4	318	366

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nanterre	Cholet
Nancy	65-80 L	85-76 W
Pau-Orthez	78-64 W	85-79 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nanterre

WWLWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Nancy France Ligue A	65-80	L
10/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	101-73	W
02/10	Roanne France Ligue A	83-93	L
26/09	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	78-64	W
08/06	Monaco France Ligue A	78-89	L
06/06	Monaco France Ligue A	61-83	L
03/06	Monaco France Ligue A	98-89	W
01/06	Monaco France Ligue A	88-103	L
27/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	64-55	W
25/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	90-74	W

Cholet

WWWLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Chalon France Ligue A	77-86	L
10/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	85-79	W
03/10	Nancy France Ligue A	85-76	W
27/09	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	85-97	L
09/06	Paris France Ligue A	91-94	L
07/06	Paris France Ligue A	86-95	L
04/06	Paris France Ligue A	77-100	L
02/06	Paris France Ligue A	90-89	W
30/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	80-75	W
28/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	77-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nanterre vs Cholet?

Our model gives 67% to Nanterre.

How many points are expected in Nanterre vs Cholet?

The model estimates 162.4 total points (Nanterre 84.3 · Cholet 78.1).