Basketball · France Ligue A · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Nancy

Team pages: Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne · Nancy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.8Total

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne86.3

Nancy75.5

1X2

78% 22%

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne Nancy

Recent form · 10 last

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWWW

Nancy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 6–0 Nancy (6 last)

Nancy82-88Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne115-71Nancy
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne92-82Nancy
Nancy85-91Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Nancy58-83Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne89-64Nancy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 1530 · Nancy 1484

	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	Nancy
Our model	69%	31%
Market	80%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 161.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.8Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.3 · Nancy 75.5

Match keys

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	Nancy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.1 / 79	78.7 / 83
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87 / 80.2	74.2 / 85.4
Est. result	86	76

Est. total161.8

Line O/U166.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.83

2 (+10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 161.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
16:33 +18’	1.15	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 6–0–0 Nancy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 France Ligue A	Nancy	82-88	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
28/09/25 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	115-71	Nancy
25/04/25 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	92-82	Nancy
15/12/24 France Ligue A	Nancy	85-91	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
24/04/24 France Ligue A	Nancy	58-83	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
08/10/23 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	89-64	Nancy

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	4	4	0	370	312
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	4	0	360	321
3	Paris	4	4	0	369	333
4	Chalon	4	3	1	353	308
5	Le Mans	4	3	1	393	377
6	Roanne	4	2	2	321	330
7	Strasbourg	4	2	2	315	324
8	Cholet	4	2	2	332	338
9	Nanterre	4	2	2	327	310
10	Limoges	4	1	3	356	362
11	Pau-Orthez	4	1	3	306	341
12	Boulazac	4	1	3	313	331
13	Saint-Quentin	4	1	3	357	395
14	Nancy	4	1	3	296	336
15	Bourg	4	1	3	356	358
16	Gravelines	4	0	4	318	366

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	Nancy
Cholet	97-85 W	76-85 L
Paris	76-87 L	73-78 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

WWLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Limoges France Ligue A	97-94	W
11/10	Roanne France Ligue A	96-77	W
04/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	70-65	W
27/09	Cholet France Ligue A	97-85	W
30/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-80	L
28/05	Cholet France Ligue A	65-77	L
26/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-67	W
16/05	Paris France Ligue A	76-87	L
09/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	89-81	W
05/05	Bourg France Ligue A	91-77	W

Nancy

LWLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-65	W
10/10	Chalon France Ligue A	67-108	L
03/10	Cholet France Ligue A	76-85	L
27/09	Paris France Ligue A	73-78	L
20/05	Chalon France Ligue A	75-91	L
16/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	84-71	W
10/05	Cholet France Ligue A	91-94	L
30/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	74-102	L
18/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	95-50	W
10/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	72-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Nancy?

Our model gives 78% to Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne.

How many points are expected in Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Nancy?

The model estimates 161.8 total points (Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 86.3 · Nancy 75.5).