Basketball · France Ligue A · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Boulazac vs Le Mans

Team pages: Boulazac · Le Mans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.6Total

Boulazac82.7

Le Mans88.9

1X2

33% 67%

Boulazac Le Mans

Recent form · 10 last

Boulazac 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Le Mans 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Boulazac 0–6 Le Mans (6 last)

Le Mans77-69Boulazac
Le Mans108-94Boulazac
Boulazac86-97Le Mans
Le Mans98-83Boulazac
Boulazac99-105Le Mans
Le Mans99-78Boulazac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boulazac 1423 · Le Mans 1562

	Boulazac	Le Mans
Our model	43%	57%
Market	31%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 171.6 points · Bet365 line 171.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.6Boulazac 82.7 · Le Mans 88.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Mans (rating 1423 vs 1562).
Le Mans is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Le Mans: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Boulazac	Le Mans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.5 / 84.3	90.9 / 85.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 81	89.6 / 88.2
Est. result	83	89

Est. total171.6

Line O/U171.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.05

21.34

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 170.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.05 → 3.05	Bet365 3.05
2	1.34 → 1.34	Bet365 1.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
15:56 +53’	3.05	1.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boulazac 0–0–6 Le Mans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Club Friendlies	Le Mans	77-69	Boulazac
21/03/26 France Ligue A	Le Mans	108-94	Boulazac
10/01/26 France Ligue A	Boulazac	86-97	Le Mans
06/06/21 France Ligue A	Le Mans	98-83	Boulazac
07/04/21 France Ligue A	Boulazac	99-105	Le Mans
11/01/20 France Ligue A	Le Mans	99-78	Boulazac

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	4	4	0	370	312
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	4	0	360	321
3	Paris	4	4	0	369	333
4	Chalon	4	3	1	353	308
5	Le Mans	4	3	1	393	377
6	Roanne	4	2	2	321	330
7	Strasbourg	4	2	2	315	324
8	Cholet	4	2	2	332	338
9	Nanterre	4	2	2	327	310
10	Limoges	4	1	3	356	362
11	Pau-Orthez	4	1	3	306	341
12	Boulazac	4	1	3	313	331
13	Saint-Quentin	4	1	3	357	395
14	Nancy	4	1	3	296	336
15	Bourg	4	1	3	356	358
16	Gravelines	4	0	4	318	366

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boulazac	Le Mans
Paris	75-90 L	101-103 L
Bourg	84-73 W	91-90 W
Limoges	72-80 L	101-84 W
Saint-Quentin	81-88 L	98-87 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Le Mans (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boulazac

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Paris France Ligue A	75-90	L
10/10	Bourg France Ligue A	84-73	W
03/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	75-87	L
26/09	Roanne France Ligue A	79-81	L
16/05	Monaco France Ligue A	92-74	W
07/05	Limoges France Ligue A	72-80	L
02/05	Cholet France Ligue A	68-77	L
17/04	Dijon France Ligue A	85-103	L
11/04	Chalon France Ligue A	94-90	W
04/04	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	81-88	L

Le Mans

WWWWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Bourg France Ligue A	91-90	W
11/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	98-87	W
04/10	Paris France Ligue A	101-103	L
26/09	Gravelines France Ligue A	103-97	W
27/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	55-64	L
25/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	74-90	L
16/05	Limoges France Ligue A	101-84	W
09/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	88-85	W
30/04	Nancy France Ligue A	102-74	W
18/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	96-83	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boulazac vs Le Mans?

Our model gives 67% to Le Mans.

How many points are expected in Boulazac vs Le Mans?

The model estimates 171.6 total points (Boulazac 82.7 · Le Mans 88.9).