Basketball · France Ligue A · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Saint-Quentin vs Dijon

Team pages: Saint-Quentin · Dijon

Prediction summary

Estimated points

182.2Total

Saint-Quentin87.2

Dijon95

1X2

29% 71%

Saint-Quentin Dijon

Recent form · 10 last

Saint-Quentin 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLLL

Dijon 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Saint-Quentin 4–2 Dijon (6 last)

Dijon119-127Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin77-83Dijon
Dijon92-79Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin85-72Dijon
Dijon85-91Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin77-73Dijon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint-Quentin 1464 · Dijon 1582

	Saint-Quentin	Dijon
Our model	46%	54%
Market	25%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 182.2 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +6.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points182.2Saint-Quentin 87.2 · Dijon 95

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dijon (rating 1464 vs 1582).
Dijon is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Saint-Quentin: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint-Quentin	Dijon
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.9 / 89.2	93.8 / 86.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 95.8	99.2 / 78.4
Est. result	87	95

Est. total182.2

Line O/U175.5

Diff.6.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.75

21.24

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 178.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.24 → 1.24	Bet365 1.24

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
16:32 +15’	3.75	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Quentin 4–0–2 Dijon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 France Ligue A	Dijon	119-127	Saint-Quentin
13/12/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	77-83	Dijon
23/05/25 France Ligue A	Dijon	92-79	Saint-Quentin
29/03/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	85-72	Dijon
16/11/24 France Ligue A	Dijon	85-91	Saint-Quentin
20/04/24 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	77-73	Dijon

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	4	4	0	370	312
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	4	0	360	321
3	Paris	4	4	0	369	333
4	Chalon	4	3	1	353	308
5	Le Mans	4	3	1	393	377
6	Roanne	4	2	2	321	330
7	Strasbourg	4	2	2	315	324
8	Cholet	4	2	2	332	338
9	Nanterre	4	2	2	327	310
10	Limoges	4	1	3	356	362
11	Pau-Orthez	4	1	3	306	341
12	Boulazac	4	1	3	313	331
13	Saint-Quentin	4	1	3	357	395
14	Nancy	4	1	3	296	336
15	Bourg	4	1	3	356	358
16	Gravelines	4	0	4	318	366

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint-Quentin	Dijon
Pau-Orthez	89-102 L	89-61 W
Limoges	75-92 L	108-96 W
Bourg	106-103 W	101-83 W
Strasbourg	109-87 W	81-72 W
Boulazac	88-81 W	103-85 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dijon (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint-Quentin

WLWWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-102	L
11/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	87-98	L
03/10	Limoges France Ligue A	75-92	L
26/09	Bourg France Ligue A	106-103	W
16/05	Nancy France Ligue A	71-84	L
09/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	85-88	L
03/05	Bourg France Ligue A	89-71	W
18/04	Strasbourg France Ligue A	109-87	W
12/04	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	70-86	L
04/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	88-81	W

Dijon

LLWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	92-83	W
09/10	Limoges France Ligue A	108-96	W
03/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-61	W
25/09	Strasbourg France Ligue A	81-72	W
16/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	126-80	W
09/05	Bourg France Ligue A	101-83	W
02/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	69-87	L
17/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	103-85	W
11/04	Cholet France Ligue A	74-111	L
05/04	Monaco France Ligue A	95-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint-Quentin vs Dijon?

Our model gives 71% to Dijon.

How many points are expected in Saint-Quentin vs Dijon?

The model estimates 182.2 total points (Saint-Quentin 87.2 · Dijon 95).