Basketball · China CBA · 22/10, 13:35

Prediction: Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Zhejiang Lions

Team pages: Guangdong Southern Tigers · Zhejiang Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.1Total

Guangdong Southern Tigers87.5

Zhejiang Lions90.6

1X2

41% 59%

Guangdong Southern Tigers Zhejiang Lions

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong Southern Tigers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLLL

Zhejiang Lions 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Guangdong Southern Tigers 3–3 Zhejiang Lions (6 last)

Zhejiang Lions85-91Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers100-80Zhejiang Lions
Guangdong Southern Tigers84-74Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions110-94Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers107-113Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions103-92Guangdong Southern Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong Southern Tigers 1471 · Zhejiang Lions 1470

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Zhejiang Lions
Our model	63%	37%
Market	36%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 178.1 points · Bet365 line 187.5 · -9.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points178.1Guangdong Southern Tigers 87.5 · Zhejiang Lions 90.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Zhejiang Lions
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88 / 91.7	92.1 / 96.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.4 / 96.2	94.8 / 101.8
Est. result	88	91

Est. total178.1

Line O/U187.5

Diff.9.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 187.51.83

Under 187.51.83

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 184.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
16:37 +9’	2.60	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Southern Tigers 3–0–3 Zhejiang Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	85-91	Guangdong Southern Tigers
04/04/26 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	100-80	Zhejiang Lions
24/03/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	84-74	Zhejiang Lions
14/03/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	110-94	Guangdong Southern Tigers
21/12/24 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	107-113	Zhejiang Lions
29/11/24 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	103-92	Guangdong Southern Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	2	2	0	207	160
2	Guangzhou Long-Lions	2	2	0	204	160
3	Beijing Ducks	2	2	0	180	160
4	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	2	2	0	189	172
5	Sichuan Blue Whales	2	2	0	188	173
6	Zhejiang Lions	2	2	0	214	203
7	Shanxi Loongs	2	1	1	212	188
8	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
9	Fujian Sturgeons	2	1	1	183	184
10	Shenzhen Leopards	2	1	1	157	183
11	Nanjing Monkey King	2	1	1	177	209
12	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	2	0	2	170	175
14	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
15	Guangdong Southern Tigers	2	0	2	173	192
16	Tianjin Pioneers	2	0	2	177	204
17	Ningbo Rockets	2	0	2	144	198
18	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
19	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
20	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Zhejiang Lions
Fujian Sturgeons	91-93 L	99-94 W
Shanxi Loongs	96-106 L	115-109 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zhejiang Lions (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong Southern Tigers

LLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	78-96	L
18/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	95-96	L
12/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	73-88	L
09/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	102-99	W
06/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	94-102	L
03/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-80	W
01/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	85-64	W
28/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	76-93	L
24/04	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	91-93	L
20/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	96-106	L

Zhejiang Lions

WLWLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	99-94	W
17/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	115-109	W
05/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-103	L
02/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	101-93	W
31/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	77-110	L
28/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-91	L
26/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	90-101	L
23/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	97-88	W
21/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	80-91	L
18/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	92-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Zhejiang Lions?

Our model gives 59% to Zhejiang Lions.

How many points are expected in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Zhejiang Lions?

The model estimates 178.1 total points (Guangdong Southern Tigers 87.5 · Zhejiang Lions 90.6).