Basketball · China CBA · 01/11, 12:35

Prediction: Tianjin Pioneers vs Ningbo Rockets

Team pages: Tianjin Pioneers · Ningbo Rockets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.9Total

Tianjin Pioneers95.1

Ningbo Rockets84.8

1X2

77% 23%

Tianjin Pioneers Ningbo Rockets

Recent form · 10 last

Tianjin Pioneers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

Ningbo Rockets 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Tianjin Pioneers 4–2 Ningbo Rockets (6 last)

Tianjin Pioneers102-89Ningbo Rockets
Tianjin Pioneers103-93Ningbo Rockets
Ningbo Rockets101-98Tianjin Pioneers
Ningbo Rockets104-111Tianjin Pioneers
Ningbo Rockets124-116Tianjin Pioneers
Tianjin Pioneers120-115Ningbo Rockets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tianjin Pioneers 1421 · Ningbo Rockets 1356

	Tianjin Pioneers	Ningbo Rockets
Our model	71%	29%
Market	79%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 179.9 points · Bet365 line 179.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.9Tianjin Pioneers 95.1 · Ningbo Rockets 84.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianjin Pioneers (rating 1421 vs 1356).
Tianjin Pioneers is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Tianjin Pioneers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tianjin Pioneers	Ningbo Rockets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.8 / 97.3	78 / 86.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.8 / 97.4	78.6 / 95.2
Est. result	95	85

Est. total179.9

Line O/U179.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

24.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.83

2 (+9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 179.51.83

Under 179.51.83

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 177.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
2	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
15:14 +10’	1.18	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:20 +4’	1.17	4.15
16:26 +20’	1.17▼	4.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tianjin Pioneers 4–0–2 Ningbo Rockets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	102-89	Ningbo Rockets
20/01/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	103-93	Ningbo Rockets
28/12/25 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	101-98	Tianjin Pioneers
25/03/25 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	104-111	Tianjin Pioneers
10/03/25 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	124-116	Tianjin Pioneers
19/01/25 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	120-115	Ningbo Rockets

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	694	567
3	Shanghai Sharks	6	5	1	580	520
4	Fujian Sturgeons	7	4	3	642	618
5	Liaoning Flying Leopards	6	5	1	585	538
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	6	4	2	509	457
7	Guangdong Southern Tigers	7	3	4	600	611
8	Shandong Hi-Speed	7	3	4	637	655
9	Zhejiang Lions	6	4	2	558	557
10	Shanxi Loongs	6	4	2	612	547
11	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	7	3	4	602	629
12	Shenzhen Leopards	6	3	3	466	570
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	6	3	3	507	497
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	6	3	3	547	582
15	Qingdao Eagles	7	2	5	620	637
16	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
17	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
18	Tianjin Pioneers	6	1	5	554	584
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
20	Ningbo Rockets	6	0	6	464	571

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tianjin Pioneers

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	92-95	L
27/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	90-94	L
25/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	93-105	L
23/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	102-86	W
20/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	92-107	L
17/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	85-97	L
24/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-103	L
20/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	84-96	L
17/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-106	L
15/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	100-84	W

Ningbo Rockets

WWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	91-107	L
26/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	76-85	L
24/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	77-86	L
22/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	76-95	L
20/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	73-103	L
17/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	71-95	L
02/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	81-83	L
29/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	57-65	L
24/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	94-78	W
20/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	84-65	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tianjin Pioneers vs Ningbo Rockets?

Our model gives 77% to Tianjin Pioneers.

How many points are expected in Tianjin Pioneers vs Ningbo Rockets?

The model estimates 179.9 total points (Tianjin Pioneers 95.1 · Ningbo Rockets 84.8).