Basketball · China CBA · 01/11, 12:35

Prediction: Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Shenzhen Leopards

Team pages: Liaoning Flying Leopards · Shenzhen Leopards

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.4Total

Liaoning Flying Leopards98.4

Shenzhen Leopards86.1

1X2

81% 19%

Liaoning Flying Leopards Shenzhen Leopards

Recent form · 10 last

Liaoning Flying Leopards 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Shenzhen Leopards 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Liaoning Flying Leopards 4–2 Shenzhen Leopards (6 last)

Shenzhen Leopards88-96Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards83-87Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards93-90Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards117-100Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards93-100Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards67-62Shenzhen Leopards

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Flying Leopards 1568 · Shenzhen Leopards 1519

	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards
Our model	69%	31%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 184.4 points · Bet365 line 184.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.4Liaoning Flying Leopards 98.4 · Shenzhen Leopards 86.1

Match keys

Liaoning Flying Leopards is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Liaoning Flying Leopards: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.8 / 89.4	83.2 / 95
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98 / 90.8	79.6 / 93.6
Est. result	98	86

Est. total184.4

Line O/U184.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 184.51.83

Under 184.51.83

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 180.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
2	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	2
15:21 +2’	1.12	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:23	1.06	6.94
16:40 +5’	1.08▲	6.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Flying Leopards 4–0–2 Shenzhen Leopards

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	88-96	Liaoning Flying Leopards
18/01/26 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	83-87	Shenzhen Leopards
29/12/25 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	93-90	Liaoning Flying Leopards
19/03/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	117-100	Shenzhen Leopards
01/12/24 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	93-100	Liaoning Flying Leopards
20/09/24 Basketball Matches	Liaoning Flying Leopards	67-62	Shenzhen Leopards

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	694	567
3	Shanghai Sharks	6	5	1	580	520
4	Fujian Sturgeons	7	4	3	642	618
5	Liaoning Flying Leopards	6	5	1	585	538
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	6	4	2	509	457
7	Guangdong Southern Tigers	7	3	4	600	611
8	Shandong Hi-Speed	7	3	4	637	655
9	Zhejiang Lions	6	4	2	558	557
10	Shanxi Loongs	6	4	2	612	547
11	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	7	3	4	602	629
12	Shenzhen Leopards	6	3	3	466	570
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	6	3	3	507	497
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	6	3	3	547	582
15	Qingdao Eagles	7	2	5	620	637
16	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
17	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
18	Tianjin Pioneers	6	1	5	554	584
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
20	Ningbo Rockets	6	0	6	464	571

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards
Zhejiang Lions	84-90 L	88-97 L
Jiangsu Dragons	108-89 W	89-81 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Liaoning Flying Leopards (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Flying Leopards

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	107-91	W
27/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	84-90	L
25/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	98-87	W
23/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	104-93	W
21/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-93	W
18/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-84	W
03/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	82-98	L
01/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	86-102	L
28/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	77-67	W
24/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	108-89	W

Shenzhen Leopards

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	82-81	W
28/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	95-83	W
25/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	70-103	L
22/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	62-120	L
19/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-81	W
16/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	68-102	L
23/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	88-97	L
21/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-80	W
18/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	85-92	L
16/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	102-111	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Shenzhen Leopards?

Our model gives 81% to Liaoning Flying Leopards.

How many points are expected in Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Shenzhen Leopards?

The model estimates 184.4 total points (Liaoning Flying Leopards 98.4 · Shenzhen Leopards 86.1).