Basketball · China CBA · 22/10, 13:35
Prediction: Fujian Sturgeons vs Ningbo Rockets
Team pages: Fujian Sturgeons · Ningbo Rockets
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.9Total
Fujian Sturgeons94.9
Ningbo Rockets81
1X2
Fujian Sturgeons
Ningbo Rockets
Recent form · 10 last
Fujian Sturgeons
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Ningbo Rockets
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fujian Sturgeons
4–2
Ningbo Rockets
(6 last)
- Ningbo Rockets85-81Fujian Sturgeons
- Fujian Sturgeons77-76Ningbo Rockets
- Fujian Sturgeons116-111Ningbo Rockets
- Ningbo Rockets110-101Fujian Sturgeons
- Fujian Sturgeons118-96Ningbo Rockets
- Fujian Sturgeons97-90Ningbo Rockets
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fujian Sturgeons 1478 · Ningbo Rockets 1392
| Fujian Sturgeons | Ningbo Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.9 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · +1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.9Fujian Sturgeons 94.9 · Ningbo Rockets 81
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fujian Sturgeons (rating 1478 vs 1392).
- Fujian Sturgeons is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Fujian Sturgeons: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Fujian Sturgeons | Ningbo Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.3 / 95.9 | 79.2 / 84.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93 / 91.8 | 75.2 / 84.8 |
| Est. result | 95 | 81 |
Est. total175.9
Line O/U174.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fujian Sturgeons 4–0–2 Ningbo Rockets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 China CBA | Ningbo Rockets | 85-81 | Fujian Sturgeons |
| 14/03/26 China CBA | Fujian Sturgeons | 77-76 | Ningbo Rockets |
| 12/03/25 China CBA | Fujian Sturgeons | 116-111 | Ningbo Rockets |
| 07/03/25 China CBA | Ningbo Rockets | 110-101 | Fujian Sturgeons |
| 12/11/24 China CBA Club Cup | Fujian Sturgeons | 118-96 | Ningbo Rockets |
| 29/07/24 China CBA Summer League | Fujian Sturgeons | 97-90 | Ningbo Rockets |
Standings · China CBA
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Sharks | 2 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 160 | 0 |
| 2 | Guangzhou Long-Lions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 160 | 0 |
| 3 | Beijing Ducks | 2 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 160 | 0 |
| 4 | Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 172 | 0 |
| 5 | Sichuan Blue Whales | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 173 | 0 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Lions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 203 | 0 |
| 7 | Shanxi Loongs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 188 | 0 |
| 8 | Beijing Royal Fighters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 187 | 176 | 0 |
| 9 | Fujian Sturgeons | 2 | 1 | 1 | 183 | 184 | 0 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Leopards | 2 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 183 | 0 |
| 11 | Nanjing Monkey King | 2 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 209 | 0 |
| 12 | Liaoning Flying Leopards | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 84 | 0 |
| 13 | Jilin Northeast Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 175 | 0 |
| 14 | Jiangsu Dragons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 166 | 178 | 0 |
| 15 | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 192 | 0 |
| 16 | Tianjin Pioneers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 177 | 204 | 0 |
| 17 | Ningbo Rockets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 144 | 198 | 0 |
| 18 | Qingdao Eagles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 82 | 0 |
| 19 | Shandong Hi-Speed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 95 | 0 |
| 20 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 90 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fujian Sturgeons | Ningbo Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Lions | 94-99 L | 85-93 L |
| Guangdong Southern Tigers | 93-91 W | 74-77 L |
| Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 98-97 W | 81-83 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fujian Sturgeons (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fujian Sturgeons
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Zhejiang Lions China CBA |
94-99 | L |
| 17/10 | Jiangsu Dragons China CBA |
89-85 | W |
| 24/04 | Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA |
93-91 | W |
| 20/04 | Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA |
94-101 | L |
| 18/04 | Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA |
95-83 | W |
| 16/04 | Jiangsu Dragons China CBA |
84-76 | W |
| 13/04 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA |
98-97 | W |
| 10/04 | Shanghai Sharks China CBA |
116-119 | L |
| 07/04 | Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA |
103-112 | L |
| 05/04 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA |
87-96 | L |
Ningbo Rockets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Shanxi Loongs China CBA |
73-103 | L |
| 17/10 | Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA |
71-95 | L |
| 02/05 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA |
81-83 | L |
| 29/04 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA |
57-65 | L |
| 24/04 | Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA |
94-78 | W |
| 20/04 | Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA |
84-65 | W |
| 17/04 | Shenzhen Leopards China CBA |
96-106 | L |
| 14/04 | Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA |
74-77 | L |
| 12/04 | Qingdao Eagles China CBA |
77-78 | L |
| 10/04 | Zhejiang Lions China CBA |
85-93 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fujian Sturgeons vs Ningbo Rockets?
Our model gives 84% to Fujian Sturgeons.
How many points are expected in Fujian Sturgeons vs Ningbo Rockets?
The model estimates 175.9 total points (Fujian Sturgeons 94.9 · Ningbo Rockets 81).