Basketball · China CBA · 22/10, 13:35

Prediction: Shanxi Loongs vs Shanghai Sharks

Team pages: Shanxi Loongs · Shanghai Sharks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.8Total

Shanxi Loongs92.5

Shanghai Sharks100.3

1X2

29% 71%

Shanxi Loongs Shanghai Sharks

Recent form · 10 last

Shanxi Loongs 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLLW

Shanghai Sharks 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Shanxi Loongs 1–5 Shanghai Sharks (6 last)

Shanxi Loongs96-100Shanghai Sharks
Shanxi Loongs80-112Shanghai Sharks
Shanghai Sharks114-94Shanxi Loongs
Shanghai Sharks96-81Shanxi Loongs
Shanghai Sharks100-93Shanxi Loongs
Shanxi Loongs111-100Shanghai Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanxi Loongs 1520 · Shanghai Sharks 1609

	Shanxi Loongs	Shanghai Sharks
Our model	50%	50%
Market	24%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 192.8 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.8Shanxi Loongs 92.5 · Shanghai Sharks 100.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Sharks (rating 1520 vs 1609).
Shanghai Sharks is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Shanghai Sharks: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shanxi Loongs	Shanghai Sharks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.7 / 91.4	97.3 / 84.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.4 / 91	102.6 / 84
Est. result	93	100

Est. total192.8

Line O/U188.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.90

21.23

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.83

Under 188.51.83

Diff.: 4.4 · Est. total: 184.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.23 → 1.23	Bet365 1.23

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
15:32 +14’	3.90	1.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanxi Loongs 1–0–5 Shanghai Sharks

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 China CBA	Shanxi Loongs	96-100	Shanghai Sharks
25/03/26 China CBA	Shanxi Loongs	80-112	Shanghai Sharks
12/02/26 China CBA Club Cup	Shanghai Sharks	114-94	Shanxi Loongs
11/01/26 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	96-81	Shanxi Loongs
26/02/25 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	100-93	Shanxi Loongs
17/01/25 China CBA	Shanxi Loongs	111-100	Shanghai Sharks

Standings · China CBA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	2	2	0	207	160
2	Guangzhou Long-Lions	2	2	0	204	160
3	Beijing Ducks	2	2	0	180	160
4	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	2	2	0	189	172
5	Sichuan Blue Whales	2	2	0	188	173
6	Zhejiang Lions	2	2	0	214	203
7	Shanxi Loongs	2	1	1	212	188
8	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
9	Fujian Sturgeons	2	1	1	183	184
10	Shenzhen Leopards	2	1	1	157	183
11	Nanjing Monkey King	2	1	1	177	209
12	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	2	0	2	170	175
14	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
15	Guangdong Southern Tigers	2	0	2	173	192
16	Tianjin Pioneers	2	0	2	177	204
17	Ningbo Rockets	2	0	2	144	198
18	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
19	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
20	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanxi Loongs

LWWWWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	103-73	W
17/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	109-115	L
13/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	67-91	L
10/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	81-86	L
07/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	92-90	W
02/05	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-94	W
29/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	90-86	W
24/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	116-96	W
20/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	106-96	W
18/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	86-87	L

Shanghai Sharks

LWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	105-92	W
16/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	102-68	W
05/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	103-82	W
02/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-101	L
31/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	110-77	W
28/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-88	W
26/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	101-90	W
22/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	99-85	W
20/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	81-66	W
17/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	88-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanxi Loongs vs Shanghai Sharks?

Our model gives 71% to Shanghai Sharks.

How many points are expected in Shanxi Loongs vs Shanghai Sharks?

The model estimates 192.8 total points (Shanxi Loongs 92.5 · Shanghai Sharks 100.3).