Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 16/10, 17:30
Prediction: Ventspils vs TALTECH
Team pages: Ventspils · TALTECH
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.1Total
Ventspils86.2
TALTECH80.8
1X2
Ventspils
TALTECH
Recent form · 10 last
Ventspils
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
TALTECH
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventspils
2–4
TALTECH
(6 last)
- TALTECH86-80Ventspils
- Ventspils80-84TALTECH
- Ventspils96-86TALTECH
- TALTECH93-87Ventspils
- Ventspils101-90TALTECH
- TALTECH100-98Ventspils
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventspils 1521 · TALTECH 1529
| Ventspils | TALTECH | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.1Ventspils 86.2 · TALTECH 80.8
Match keys
- Ventspils is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours TALTECH: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ventspils | TALTECH | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.3 / 86 | 81.1 / 84.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.4 / 83.2 | 76 / 77.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 81 |
Est. total167.1
Line O/U164.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventspils 2–0–4 TALTECH
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | TALTECH | 86-80 | Ventspils |
| 17/10/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Ventspils | 80-84 | TALTECH |
| 24/01/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Ventspils | 96-86 | TALTECH |
| 26/10/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | TALTECH | 93-87 | Ventspils |
| 01/03/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Ventspils | 101-90 | TALTECH |
| 14/10/23 Latvia-Estonia BL | TALTECH | 100-98 | Ventspils |
Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VEF Riga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 458 | 324 | 10 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 5 | 5 | 0 | 472 | 374 | 10 |
| 3 | Rigas Zelli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 377 | 303 | 8 |
| 4 | Ventspils | 5 | 4 | 1 | 447 | 416 | 9 |
| 5 | Tartu Ulikool | 4 | 2 | 2 | 336 | 332 | 6 |
| 6 | Kalev/Cramo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 304 | 320 | 6 |
| 7 | TALTECH | 4 | 2 | 2 | 306 | 304 | 6 |
| 8 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori | 4 | 2 | 2 | 337 | 348 | 6 |
| 9 | Keila | 3 | 1 | 2 | 217 | 266 | 4 |
| 10 | Parnu | 3 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 227 | 4 |
| 11 | Ogre | 3 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 283 | 4 |
| 12 | Liepajas Lauvas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 380 | 411 | 6 |
| 13 | Latvijas Universitate | 5 | 1 | 4 | 411 | 489 | 6 |
| 14 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 4 | 0 | 4 | 298 | 347 | 4 |
| 15 | Keila Basket | 4 | 0 | 4 | 272 | 359 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventspils | TALTECH |
|---|---|---|
| Kalev/Cramo | 86-73 W | 78-91 L |
| Tartu Ulikool | 92-85 W | 78-76 W |
| Latvijas Universitate | 108-92 W | 109-92 W |
| Valmiera | 76-98 L | 74-83 L |
| VEF Riga | 71-90 L | 70-90 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventspils (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventspils
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL |
85-68 | W |
| 10/10 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
86-73 | W |
| 02/10 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
92-85 | W |
| 28/09 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
108-92 | W |
| 25/09 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
76-98 | L |
| 24/03 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
71-90 | L |
| 22/03 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
72-69 | W |
| 18/03 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
54-77 | L |
| 14/03 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
84-109 | L |
| 10/03 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
85-99 | L |
TALTECH
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL |
78-71 | W |
| 10/10 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
70-90 | L |
| 04/10 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
85-64 | W |
| 26/09 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
73-79 | L |
| 23/03 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
74-83 | L |
| 18/03 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
80-105 | L |
| 14/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
78-76 | W |
| 08/03 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
78-91 | L |
| 04/03 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
109-92 | W |
| 02/03 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
86-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventspils vs TALTECH?
Our model gives 65% to Ventspils.
How many points are expected in Ventspils vs TALTECH?
The model estimates 167.1 total points (Ventspils 86.2 · TALTECH 80.8).