Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Rigas Zelli vs Keila

Team pages: Rigas Zelli · Keila

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.9Total

Rigas Zelli95.3

Keila75.6

1X2

92% 8%

Rigas Zelli Keila

Recent form · 10 last

Rigas Zelli 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Keila 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Rigas Zelli 6–0 Keila (6 last)

Keila69-91Rigas Zelli
Rigas Zelli108-73Keila
Rigas Zelli102-84Keila
Keila42-89Rigas Zelli
Keila71-78Rigas Zelli
Rigas Zelli77-56Keila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rigas Zelli 1583 · Keila 1391

	Rigas Zelli	Keila
Our model	84%	16%
Market	95%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 170.9 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.9Rigas Zelli 95.3 · Keila 75.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigas Zelli (rating 1583 vs 1391).
Rigas Zelli is a clear favourite (92% market).
H2H favours Rigas Zelli: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rigas Zelli	Keila
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.3 / 79.8	79.1 / 91.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.4 / 74.4	73.8 / 83
Est. result	95	76

Est. total170.9

Line O/U168.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

218.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-24.5)1.83

2 (+24.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 2.7 · Est. total: 171.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
2	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.2%

Time*	1	2
12:40 +9’	1.00	18.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rigas Zelli 6–0–0 Keila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila	69-91	Rigas Zelli
18/10/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Rigas Zelli	108-73	Keila
08/03/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Rigas Zelli	102-84	Keila
10/12/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila	42-89	Rigas Zelli
24/01/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila	71-78	Rigas Zelli
30/09/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	Rigas Zelli	77-56	Keila

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VEF Riga	6	6	0	547	396	12
2	Valmiera	6	6	0	553	433	12
3	Rigas Zelli	5	5	0	462	372	10
4	TALTECH	6	4	2	473	464	10
5	Ventspils	6	4	2	529	501	10
6	Tartu Ulikool	5	3	2	425	403	8
7	Kalev/Cramo	5	3	2	404	399	8
8	Ogre	5	2	3	418	434	7
9	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	5	2	3	416	448	7
10	Keila	5	2	3	369	415	7
11	Parnu	4	1	3	296	316	5
12	Liepajas Lauvas	6	1	5	449	496	7
13	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	6	1	5	455	509	7
14	Latvijas Universitate	7	1	6	556	658	8
15	Keila Basket	5	0	5	332	440	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rigas Zelli	Keila
Tartu Ulikool	94-74 W	71-89 L
Keila Basket	94-71 W	81-60 W
Kalev/Cramo	100-102 L	73-98 L
KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	90-74 W	73-95 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rigas Zelli (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rigas Zelli

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL	85-69	W
09/10	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	94-74	W
03/10	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	110-85	W
26/09	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	79-73	W
25/09	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	94-71	W
25/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	100-102	L
22/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	86-93	L
20/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	83-69	W
14/03	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	90-74	W
13/03	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	102-88	W

Keila

LLWLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	81-60	W
17/10	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	71-89	L
10/10	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	75-70	W
03/10	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	82-106	L
29/09	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	60-90	L
14/03	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	74-96	L
11/03	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	83-93	L
07/03	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	119-115	W
03/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	73-98	L
22/02	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	73-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rigas Zelli vs Keila?

Our model gives 92% to Rigas Zelli.

How many points are expected in Rigas Zelli vs Keila?

The model estimates 170.9 total points (Rigas Zelli 95.3 · Keila 75.6).