Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Kalev/Cramo vs Keila Basket

Team pages: Kalev/Cramo · Keila Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.6Total

Kalev/Cramo96.2

Keila Basket77.4

1X2

91% 9%

Kalev/Cramo Keila Basket

Recent form · 10 last

Kalev/Cramo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWWLW

Keila Basket 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Kalev/Cramo 6–0 Keila Basket (6 last)

Kalev/Cramo105-76Keila Basket
Keila Basket74-101Kalev/Cramo
Kalev/Cramo106-101Keila Basket
Kalev/Cramo107-78Keila Basket
Keila Basket68-111Kalev/Cramo
Kalev/Cramo123-65Keila Basket

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kalev/Cramo 1580 · Keila Basket 1324

	Kalev/Cramo	Keila Basket
Our model	88%	12%
Market	92%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 173.6 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +11.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.6Kalev/Cramo 96.2 · Keila Basket 77.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalev/Cramo (rating 1580 vs 1324).
Kalev/Cramo is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours Kalev/Cramo: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kalev/Cramo	Keila Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83 / 85.6	75.9 / 92.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.8 / 79.8	66.4 / 88
Est. result	96	77

Est. total173.6

Line O/U162.5

Diff.11.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.02

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-19.5)1.83

2 (+19.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 168.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	2
12:31 +20’	1.02	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:38 +12’	1.02	9.65
20:34 +16’	1.02▼	9.80▲
12:18 +33’	1.02▼	10.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalev/Cramo 6–0–0 Keila Basket

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Estonia KML	Kalev/Cramo	105-76	Keila Basket
15/04/26 Estonia KML	Keila Basket	74-101	Kalev/Cramo
12/04/26 Estonia KML	Kalev/Cramo	106-101	Keila Basket
18/02/26 Estonia Cup	Kalev/Cramo	107-78	Keila Basket
24/01/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila Basket	68-111	Kalev/Cramo
15/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Kalev/Cramo	123-65	Keila Basket

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VEF Riga	6	6	0	547	396	12
2	Valmiera	6	6	0	553	433	12
3	Rigas Zelli	5	5	0	462	372	10
4	TALTECH	6	4	2	473	464	10
5	Ventspils	6	4	2	529	501	10
6	Tartu Ulikool	5	3	2	425	403	8
7	Kalev/Cramo	5	3	2	404	399	8
8	Ogre	5	2	3	418	434	7
9	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	5	2	3	416	448	7
10	Keila	5	2	3	369	415	7
11	Parnu	4	1	3	296	316	5
12	Liepajas Lauvas	6	1	5	449	496	7
13	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	6	1	5	455	509	7
14	Latvijas Universitate	7	1	6	556	658	8
15	Keila Basket	5	0	5	332	440	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kalev/Cramo	Keila Basket
Ventspils	73-86 L	68-85 L
VEF Riga	72-87 L	89-99 L
Rigas Zelli	102-100 W	71-94 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kalev/Cramo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kalev/Cramo

WLWLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Rigas Ekselences Juniori Latvia-Estonia BL	100-79	W
10/10	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	73-86	L
03/10	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	79-78	W
27/09	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	89-66	W
24/09	BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL	63-90	L
07/04	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	72-87	L
03/04	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	81-89	L
01/04	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	86-83	W
28/03	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	85-98	L
25/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	102-100	W

Keila Basket

LLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	60-81	L
11/10	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	68-85	L
04/10	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	77-85	L
29/09	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	56-95	L
25/09	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	71-94	L
13/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	88-102	L
11/03	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	93-83	W
06/03	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	83-95	L
14/02	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	74-110	L
06/02	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	89-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalev/Cramo vs Keila Basket?

Our model gives 91% to Kalev/Cramo.

How many points are expected in Kalev/Cramo vs Keila Basket?

The model estimates 173.6 total points (Kalev/Cramo 96.2 · Keila Basket 77.4).