Basketball · France Ligue A · 26/09, 18:00
Prediction: Chalon vs Limoges
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173Total
Chalon89.6
Limoges83.4
1X2
Chalon
Limoges
Recent form · 10 last
Chalon
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Limoges
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chalon
3–3
Limoges
(6 last)
- Chalon109-56Limoges
- Limoges95-83Chalon
- Chalon92-76Limoges
- Limoges74-68Chalon
- Chalon67-62Limoges
- Limoges107-88Chalon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chalon 1544 · Limoges 1472
| Chalon | Limoges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
173 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points173Chalon 89.6 · Limoges 83.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chalon (rating 1544 vs 1472).
- Chalon is a clear favourite (67% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Chalon | Limoges | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91 / 84.1 | 82.8 / 87.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.2 / 85.6 | 87.4 / 85.4 |
| Est. result | 90 | 83 |
Est. total173
Line O/U171.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chalon 3–0–3 Limoges
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 France Ligue A | Chalon | 109-56 | Limoges |
| 10/01/26 France Ligue A | Limoges | 95-83 | Chalon |
| 24/01/25 France Ligue A | Chalon | 92-76 | Limoges |
| 01/11/24 France Ligue A | Limoges | 74-68 | Chalon |
| 11/09/24 Club Friendlies | Chalon | 67-62 | Limoges |
| 30/03/24 France Ligue A | Limoges | 107-88 | Chalon |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gravelines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulazac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cholet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau-Orthez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chalon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limoges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nanterre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Saint-Quentin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chalon | Limoges |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 91-75 W | 89-95 L |
| Le Portel | 93-58 W | 105-83 W |
| Paris | 105-103 W | 80-86 L |
| Bourg | 100-84 W | 71-92 L |
| Boulazac | 90-94 L | 80-72 W |
| Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 87-89 L | 73-90 L |
| Gravelines | 86-81 W | 93-64 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Chalon (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chalon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
81-102 | L |
| 20/05 | Nancy France Ligue A |
91-75 | W |
| 16/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
91-90 | W |
| 09/05 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
93-58 | W |
| 02/05 | Paris France Ligue A |
105-103 | W |
| 18/04 | Bourg France Ligue A |
100-84 | W |
| 11/04 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
90-94 | L |
| 05/04 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
87-89 | L |
| 27/03 | Gravelines France Ligue A |
86-81 | W |
| 21/03 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
86-65 | W |
Limoges
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
84-101 | L |
| 07/05 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
80-72 | W |
| 02/05 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
105-83 | W |
| 19/04 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
97-79 | W |
| 15/04 | Bourg France Ligue A |
71-92 | L |
| 11/04 | Gravelines France Ligue A |
93-64 | W |
| 28/03 | Nancy France Ligue A |
89-95 | L |
| 22/03 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
73-90 | L |
| 13/03 | Chalon France Ligue A |
56-109 | L |
| 08/03 | Paris France Ligue A |
80-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chalon vs Limoges?
Our model gives 67% to Chalon.
How many points are expected in Chalon vs Limoges?
The model estimates 173 total points (Chalon 89.6 · Limoges 83.4).