Basketball · France Ligue A · 18/10, 16:30

Prediction: Paris vs Boulazac

Team pages: Paris · Boulazac

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.1Total

Paris92.5

Boulazac80.7

1X2

80% 20%

Paris Boulazac

Recent form · 10 last

Paris 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Boulazac 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Paris 1–2 Boulazac (3 last)

Paris87-103Boulazac
Boulazac73-94Paris
Boulazac96-80Paris

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris 1557 · Boulazac 1450

	Paris	Boulazac
Our model	76%	24%
Market	80%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 173.1 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.1Paris 92.5 · Boulazac 80.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris (rating 1557 vs 1450).
Paris is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Boulazac: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Paris	Boulazac
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.7 / 90.2	82.5 / 82.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91 / 91	80.4 / 79
Est. result	93	81

Est. total173.1

Line O/U170.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.83

2 (+10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 3.15 · Est. total: 173.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
19:56 +4’	1.15	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris 1–0–2 Boulazac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 France Ligue A	Paris	87-103	Boulazac
02/11/25 France Ligue A	Boulazac	73-94	Paris
21/09/25 France Super Cup	Boulazac	96-80	Paris

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	3	3	0	278	229
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	3	0	263	227
3	Paris	3	3	0	279	258
4	Roanne	3	2	1	251	258
5	Chalon	3	2	1	267	231
6	Le Mans	3	2	1	302	287
7	Cholet	3	2	1	255	252
8	Nanterre	3	2	1	262	230
9	Limoges	3	1	2	262	265
10	Strasbourg	3	1	2	243	254
11	Boulazac	3	1	2	238	241
12	Saint-Quentin	3	1	2	268	293
13	Bourg	3	1	2	266	267
14	Gravelines	3	0	3	235	274
15	Pau-Orthez	3	0	3	204	252
16	Nancy	3	0	3	216	271

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paris	Boulazac
Strasbourg	98-84 W	75-87 L
Monaco	92-101 L	92-74 W
Cholet	94-91 W	68-77 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paris (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	98-84	W
04/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	103-101	W
27/09	Nancy France Ligue A	78-73	W
23/06	Monaco France Ligue A	92-101	L
21/06	Monaco France Ligue A	84-96	L
19/06	Monaco France Ligue A	88-77	W
17/06	Monaco France Ligue A	90-102	L
14/06	Monaco France Ligue A	95-91	W
09/06	Cholet France Ligue A	94-91	W
07/06	Cholet France Ligue A	95-86	W

Boulazac

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Bourg France Ligue A	84-73	W
03/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	75-87	L
26/09	Roanne France Ligue A	79-81	L
16/05	Monaco France Ligue A	92-74	W
07/05	Limoges France Ligue A	72-80	L
02/05	Cholet France Ligue A	68-77	L
17/04	Dijon France Ligue A	85-103	L
11/04	Chalon France Ligue A	94-90	W
04/04	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	81-88	L
29/03	Strasbourg France Ligue A	95-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris vs Boulazac?

Our model gives 80% to Paris.

How many points are expected in Paris vs Boulazac?

The model estimates 173.1 total points (Paris 92.5 · Boulazac 80.7).