Basketball · France Ligue A · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Nancy vs Nanterre

Team pages: Nancy · Nanterre

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162Total

Nancy79.2

Nanterre82.8

1X2

40% 60%

Nancy Nanterre

Recent form · 10 last

Nancy 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLLL

Nanterre 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Nancy 2–4 Nanterre (6 last)

Nanterre86-72Nancy
Nancy84-91Nanterre
Nancy96-81Nanterre
Nanterre97-75Nancy
Nanterre89-88Nancy
Nancy91-71Nanterre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nancy 1448 · Nanterre 1506

	Nancy	Nanterre
Our model	55%	45%
Market	37%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 162 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162Nancy 79.2 · Nanterre 82.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nanterre (rating 1448 vs 1506).
H2H favours Nanterre: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nancy	Nanterre
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.9 / 85.1	80.7 / 80.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75 / 86.6	80.2 / 80.4
Est. result	79	83

Est. total162

Line O/U163.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 162.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	2
19:52 +2’	2.55	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 2–0–4 Nanterre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 France Ligue A	Nanterre	86-72	Nancy
23/12/25 France Ligue A	Nancy	84-91	Nanterre
02/05/25 France Ligue A	Nancy	96-81	Nanterre
07/12/24 France Ligue A	Nanterre	97-75	Nancy
28/12/23 France Ligue A	Nanterre	89-88	Nancy
26/11/23 France Ligue A	Nancy	91-71	Nanterre

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	3	3	0	278	229
2	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	3	0	263	227
3	Paris	3	3	0	279	258
4	Roanne	3	2	1	251	258
5	Chalon	3	2	1	267	231
6	Le Mans	3	2	1	302	287
7	Cholet	3	2	1	255	252
8	Nanterre	3	2	1	262	230
9	Limoges	3	1	2	262	265
10	Strasbourg	3	1	2	243	254
11	Boulazac	3	1	2	238	241
12	Saint-Quentin	3	1	2	268	293
13	Bourg	3	1	2	266	267
14	Gravelines	3	0	3	235	274
15	Pau-Orthez	3	0	3	204	252
16	Nancy	3	0	3	216	271

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nancy	Nanterre
Cholet	76-85 L	66-79 L
Le Mans	74-102 L	64-55 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nancy

LLWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Chalon France Ligue A	67-108	L
03/10	Cholet France Ligue A	76-85	L
27/09	Paris France Ligue A	73-78	L
20/05	Chalon France Ligue A	75-91	L
16/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	84-71	W
10/05	Cholet France Ligue A	91-94	L
30/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	74-102	L
18/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	95-50	W
10/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	72-86	L
03/04	Strasbourg France Ligue A	82-86	L

Nanterre

LWWLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	101-73	W
02/10	Roanne France Ligue A	83-93	L
26/09	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	78-64	W
08/06	Monaco France Ligue A	78-89	L
06/06	Monaco France Ligue A	61-83	L
03/06	Monaco France Ligue A	98-89	W
01/06	Monaco France Ligue A	88-103	L
27/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	64-55	W
25/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	90-74	W
16/05	Cholet France Ligue A	66-79	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Nanterre?

Our model gives 60% to Nanterre.

How many points are expected in Nancy vs Nanterre?

The model estimates 162 total points (Nancy 79.2 · Nanterre 82.8).