Prediction: Cholet vs Chalon
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Chalon87-77Cholet
- Cholet98-79Chalon
- Chalon105-72Cholet
- Cholet88-74Chalon
- Cholet84-77Chalon
- Chalon79-81Cholet
| Cholet | Chalon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cholet | Chalon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.3 / 84.5 | 91.8 / 83.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.4 / 88.2 | 87.8 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 87 | 85 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cholet 4–0–2 Chalon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 France Ligue A | Chalon | 87-77 | Cholet |
| 18/10/25 France Ligue A | Cholet | 98-79 | Chalon |
| 05/04/25 France Ligue A | Chalon | 105-72 | Cholet |
| 30/11/24 France Ligue A | Cholet | 88-74 | Chalon |
| 11/05/24 France Ligue A | Cholet | 84-77 | Chalon |
| 23/12/23 France Ligue A | Chalon | 79-81 | Cholet |
Standings · France Ligue A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 278 | 229 | 0 |
| 2 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 227 | 0 |
| 3 | Paris | 3 | 3 | 0 | 279 | 258 | 0 |
| 4 | Roanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 258 | 0 |
| 5 | Chalon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 231 | 0 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 3 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 287 | 0 |
| 7 | Cholet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 252 | 0 |
| 8 | Nanterre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 230 | 0 |
| 9 | Limoges | 3 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 265 | 0 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 254 | 0 |
| 11 | Boulazac | 3 | 1 | 2 | 238 | 241 | 0 |
| 12 | Saint-Quentin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 268 | 293 | 0 |
| 13 | Bourg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 267 | 0 |
| 14 | Gravelines | 3 | 0 | 3 | 235 | 274 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau-Orthez | 3 | 0 | 3 | 204 | 252 | 0 |
| 16 | Nancy | 3 | 0 | 3 | 216 | 271 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cholet | Chalon |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 85-76 W | 108-67 W |
| Paris | 91-94 L | 105-103 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chalon (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cholet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue A |
85-79 | W |
| 03/10 | Nancy France Ligue A |
85-76 | W |
| 27/09 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
85-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
91-94 | L |
| 07/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
86-95 | L |
| 04/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
77-100 | L |
| 02/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
90-89 | W |
| 30/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
80-75 | W |
| 28/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
77-65 | W |
| 26/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
67-75 | L |
Chalon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Nancy France Ligue A |
108-67 | W |
| 03/10 | Bourg France Ligue A |
77-90 | L |
| 26/09 | Limoges France Ligue A |
82-74 | W |
| 23/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
81-102 | L |
| 20/05 | Nancy France Ligue A |
91-75 | W |
| 16/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
91-90 | W |
| 09/05 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
93-58 | W |
| 02/05 | Paris France Ligue A |
105-103 | W |
| 18/04 | Bourg France Ligue A |
100-84 | W |
| 11/04 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
90-94 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cholet vs Chalon?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Cholet 56% · Chalon 44%).
How many points are expected in Cholet vs Chalon?
The model estimates 171.6 total points (Cholet 86.9 · Chalon 84.7).