Basketball · France Ligue A · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Dijon vs Nancy

Team pages: Dijon · Nancy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.2Total

Dijon89.3

Nancy78.9

1X2

77% 23%

Dijon Nancy

Markets

Under 168.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Dijon 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWW

Nancy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Dijon 5–1 Nancy (6 last)

Nancy96-94Dijon
Dijon90-75Nancy
Dijon95-84Nancy
Nancy85-104Dijon
Dijon93-84Nancy
Dijon79-70Nancy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dijon 1603 · Nancy 1500

	Dijon	Nancy
Our model	75%	25%
Market	78%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 168.2 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.2Dijon 89.3 · Nancy 78.9

Over / Under 168.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~162.8 pts · strength 6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dijon (rating 1603 vs 1500).
Dijon is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Dijon: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dijon	Nancy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.4 / 83.9	78.9 / 82.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.2 / 78.6	74 / 82.8
Est. result	89	79

Est. total168.2

Line O/U168.5

Diff.0.3

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.83

2 (+9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 169.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
19:32 +20’	1.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dijon 5–0–1 Nancy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 France Ligue A	Nancy	96-94	Dijon
20/12/25 France Ligue A	Dijon	90-75	Nancy
01/09/25 Club Friendlies	Dijon	95-84	Nancy
25/01/25 France Ligue A	Nancy	85-104	Dijon
01/10/24 France Ligue A	Dijon	93-84	Nancy
01/09/24 Club Friendlies	Dijon	79-70	Nancy

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	5	5	0	461	393
2	Paris	5	5	0	465	408
3	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	5	5	0	438	395
4	Chalon	5	4	1	459	387
5	Le Mans	5	4	1	490	449
6	Nanterre	5	3	2	413	379
7	Cholet	5	2	3	401	424
8	Strasbourg	5	2	3	394	430
9	Bourg	5	2	3	445	439
10	Roanne	5	2	3	396	426
11	Pau-Orthez	5	2	3	391	422
12	Limoges	5	1	4	437	447
13	Boulazac	5	1	4	385	428
14	Nancy	5	1	4	370	414
15	Saint-Quentin	5	1	4	438	486
16	Gravelines	5	0	5	399	455

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dijon	Nancy
Saint-Quentin	91-81 W	84-71 W
Le Portel	126-80 W	95-50 W
Nanterre	69-87 L	80-65 W
Cholet	74-111 L	76-85 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nancy (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dijon

LWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	91-81	W
18/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	92-83	W
09/10	Limoges France Ligue A	108-96	W
03/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-61	W
25/09	Strasbourg France Ligue A	81-72	W
16/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	126-80	W
09/05	Bourg France Ligue A	101-83	W
02/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	69-87	L
17/04	Boulazac France Ligue A	103-85	W
11/04	Cholet France Ligue A	74-111	L

Nancy

WLLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	74-78	L
17/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-65	W
10/10	Chalon France Ligue A	67-108	L
03/10	Cholet France Ligue A	76-85	L
27/09	Paris France Ligue A	73-78	L
20/05	Chalon France Ligue A	75-91	L
16/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	84-71	W
10/05	Cholet France Ligue A	91-94	L
30/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	74-102	L
18/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	95-50	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dijon vs Nancy?

Our model gives 77% to Dijon.

How many points are expected in Dijon vs Nancy?

The model estimates 168.2 total points (Dijon 89.3 · Nancy 78.9).

Over or under 168.5 points?

Recent history points to under 168.5 points (70%).