Basketball · France Ligue A · 07/11, 18:30

Prediction: Nanterre vs Chalon

Team pages: Nanterre · Chalon

Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.2Total
Nanterre86
Chalon84.2
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
55% 45%
Nanterre Chalon

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Nanterre 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLWLWW
Chalon 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Nanterre 5–1 Chalon (6 last)
  • Nanterre88-82Chalon
  • Chalon78-86Nanterre
  • Chalon107-84Nanterre
  • Nanterre91-70Chalon
  • Chalon89-97Nanterre
  • Nanterre83-72Chalon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nanterre 1512 · Chalon 1570
NanterreChalon
Our model55%45%
Market55%45%
Estimated total (ours) 170.2 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points170.2Nanterre 86 · Chalon 84.2

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nanterre: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

NanterreChalon
Points F|A (Last 10)83.9 / 84.192.7 / 82.8
Points F|A (Last 5)87.2 / 82.697.8 / 85.8
Est. result8684
Est. total170.2
Line O/U171.5
Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanterre 5–0–1 Chalon

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
France Ligue A
Nanterre88-82Chalon
30/09/25
France Ligue A
Chalon78-86Nanterre
27/04/25
France Ligue A
Chalon107-84Nanterre
27/10/24
France Ligue A
Nanterre91-70Chalon
20/04/24
France Ligue A
Chalon89-97Nanterre
02/12/23
France Ligue A
Nanterre83-72Chalon

Standings · France Ligue A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Paris 660 5815200
2 Dijon 651 5555010
3 Le Mans 651 5965460
4 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 651 5324940
5 Chalon 642 5715030
6 Nanterre 642 5144770
7 Strasbourg 743 5806060
8 Roanne 633 4854950
9 Cholet 624 4835120
10 Boulazac 624 4845170
11 Pau-Orthez 624 4885280
12 Nancy 624 4785080
13 Bourg 624 5435400
14 Saint-Quentin 725 6316780
15 Limoges 615 5265460
16 Gravelines 606 4685440

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNanterreChalon
Bourg 101-98 W 77-90 L
Cholet 86-69 W 86-77 W
Nancy 65-80 L 108-67 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nanterre (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nanterre

LWLLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 Bourg
France Ligue A
101-98 W
24/10 Cholet
France Ligue A
86-69 W
17/10 Nancy
France Ligue A
65-80 L
10/10 Gravelines
France Ligue A
101-73 W
02/10 Roanne
France Ligue A
83-93 L
26/09 Pau-Orthez
France Ligue A
78-64 W
08/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
78-89 L
06/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
61-83 L
03/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
98-89 W
01/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
88-103 L

Chalon

WWWLWLWWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
01/11 Paris
France Ligue A
112-116 L
24/10 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
106-79 W
17/10 Cholet
France Ligue A
86-77 W
10/10 Nancy
France Ligue A
108-67 W
03/10 Bourg
France Ligue A
77-90 L
26/09 Limoges
France Ligue A
82-74 W
23/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
81-102 L
20/05 Nancy
France Ligue A
91-75 W
16/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
91-90 W
09/05 Le Portel
France Ligue A
93-58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nanterre vs Chalon?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nanterre 55% · Chalon 45%).

How many points are expected in Nanterre vs Chalon?

The model estimates 170.2 total points (Nanterre 86 · Chalon 84.2).