Prediction: Cholet vs Dijon
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Cholet111-74Dijon
- Dijon76-64Cholet
- Dijon67-93Cholet
- Cholet95-89Dijon
- Cholet79-88Dijon
- Dijon60-62Cholet
| Cholet | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cholet | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.1 / 89.1 | 95.4 / 83.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.4 / 85.8 | 94.8 / 85.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 87 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cholet 4–0–2 Dijon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 France Ligue A | Cholet | 111-74 | Dijon |
| 11/10/25 France Ligue A | Dijon | 76-64 | Cholet |
| 08/03/25 France Ligue A | Dijon | 67-93 | Cholet |
| 17/12/24 France Ligue A | Cholet | 95-89 | Dijon |
| 30/04/24 France Ligue A | Cholet | 79-88 | Dijon |
| 24/09/23 France Ligue A | Dijon | 60-62 | Cholet |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris | 7 | 6 | 1 | 671 | 614 | 0 |
| 2 | Dijon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 555 | 501 | 0 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 6 | 5 | 1 | 596 | 546 | 0 |
| 4 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 532 | 494 | 0 |
| 5 | Chalon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 571 | 503 | 0 |
| 6 | Nanterre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 514 | 477 | 0 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 580 | 606 | 0 |
| 8 | Roanne | 6 | 3 | 3 | 485 | 495 | 0 |
| 9 | Cholet | 7 | 3 | 4 | 577 | 602 | 0 |
| 10 | Boulazac | 6 | 2 | 4 | 484 | 517 | 0 |
| 11 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 4 | 478 | 508 | 0 |
| 12 | Pau-Orthez | 6 | 2 | 4 | 488 | 528 | 0 |
| 13 | Bourg | 6 | 2 | 4 | 543 | 540 | 0 |
| 14 | Saint-Quentin | 7 | 2 | 5 | 631 | 678 | 0 |
| 15 | Limoges | 6 | 1 | 5 | 526 | 546 | 0 |
| 16 | Gravelines | 6 | 0 | 6 | 468 | 544 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cholet | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 82-88 L | 81-72 W |
| Nanterre | 69-86 L | 69-87 L |
| Pau-Orthez | 85-79 W | 89-61 W |
| Nancy | 85-76 W | 94-108 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cholet
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Paris France Ligue A |
94-90 | W |
| 31/10 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
82-88 | L |
| 24/10 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
69-86 | L |
| 17/10 | Chalon France Ligue A |
77-86 | L |
| 10/10 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue A |
85-79 | W |
| 03/10 | Nancy France Ligue A |
85-76 | W |
| 27/09 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
85-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
91-94 | L |
| 07/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
86-95 | L |
| 04/06 | Paris France Ligue A |
77-100 | L |
Dijon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Nancy France Ligue A |
94-108 | L |
| 23/10 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
91-81 | W |
| 18/10 | Gravelines France Ligue A |
92-83 | W |
| 09/10 | Limoges France Ligue A |
108-96 | W |
| 03/10 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue A |
89-61 | W |
| 25/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
81-72 | W |
| 16/05 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
126-80 | W |
| 09/05 | Bourg France Ligue A |
101-83 | W |
| 02/05 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
69-87 | L |
| 17/04 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
103-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cholet vs Dijon?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Cholet 51% · Dijon 49%).
How many points are expected in Cholet vs Dijon?
The model estimates 175 total points (Cholet 87.7 · Dijon 87.3).