Basketball · France Ligue A · 07/11, 18:30

Prediction: Nancy vs Limoges

Team pages: Nancy · Limoges

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.8Total

Nancy90.1

Limoges82.7

1X2

70% 30%

Nancy Limoges

Recent form · 10 last

Nancy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

Limoges 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Nancy 3–3 Limoges (6 last)

Limoges89-95Nancy
Nancy117-85Limoges
Limoges97-89Nancy
Nancy90-86Limoges
Limoges102-99Nancy
Nancy67-75Limoges

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nancy 1530 · Limoges 1464

	Nancy	Limoges
Our model	71%	29%
Market	69%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 172.8 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.8Nancy 90.1 · Limoges 82.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nancy (rating 1530 vs 1464).
Nancy is a clear favourite (70% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nancy	Limoges
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.2 / 86.6	89.2 / 88.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 86	90.4 / 92.8
Est. result	90	83

Est. total172.8

Line O/U169.5

Diff.3.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.34

23.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 172.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.34	Bet365 1.34
2	3.05 → 3.05	Bet365 3.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
14:34 +16’	1.34	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 3–0–3 Limoges

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 France Ligue A	Limoges	89-95	Nancy
18/10/25 France Ligue A	Nancy	117-85	Limoges
09/02/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	97-89	Nancy
16/11/24 France Ligue A	Nancy	90-86	Limoges
20/04/24 France Ligue A	Limoges	102-99	Nancy
10/12/23 France Ligue A	Nancy	67-75	Limoges

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	6	6	0	581	520
2	Dijon	6	5	1	555	501
3	Le Mans	6	5	1	596	546
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	6	5	1	532	494
5	Chalon	6	4	2	571	503
6	Nanterre	6	4	2	514	477
7	Strasbourg	7	4	3	580	606
8	Roanne	6	3	3	485	495
9	Cholet	6	2	4	483	512
10	Boulazac	6	2	4	484	517
11	Pau-Orthez	6	2	4	488	528
12	Nancy	6	2	4	478	508
13	Bourg	6	2	4	543	540
14	Saint-Quentin	7	2	5	631	678
15	Limoges	6	1	5	526	546
16	Gravelines	6	0	6	468	544

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nancy	Limoges
Dijon	108-94 W	96-108 L
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	74-78 L	94-97 L
Nanterre	80-65 W	97-79 W
Chalon	67-108 L	74-82 L
Saint-Quentin	84-71 W	92-75 W
Le Mans	74-102 L	84-101 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Limoges (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nancy

LLWLLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Dijon France Ligue A	108-94	W
25/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	74-78	L
17/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-65	W
10/10	Chalon France Ligue A	67-108	L
03/10	Cholet France Ligue A	76-85	L
27/09	Paris France Ligue A	73-78	L
20/05	Chalon France Ligue A	75-91	L
16/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	84-71	W
10/05	Cholet France Ligue A	91-94	L
30/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	74-102	L

Limoges

WWWLLWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	89-99	L
25/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	81-85	L
17/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	94-97	L
09/10	Dijon France Ligue A	96-108	L
03/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	92-75	W
26/09	Chalon France Ligue A	74-82	L
16/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	84-101	L
07/05	Boulazac France Ligue A	80-72	W
02/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	105-83	W
19/04	Nanterre France Ligue A	97-79	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Limoges?

Our model gives 70% to Nancy.

How many points are expected in Nancy vs Limoges?

The model estimates 172.8 total points (Nancy 90.1 · Limoges 82.7).