Basketball · France Ligue A · 08/11, 19:00

Prediction: Strasbourg vs Le Mans

Team pages: Strasbourg · Le Mans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.2Total

Strasbourg84.3

Le Mans86.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Strasbourg Le Mans

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Strasbourg 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWLWW

Le Mans 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Strasbourg 2–4 Le Mans (6 last)

Le Mans88-74Strasbourg
Strasbourg103-96Le Mans
Le Mans72-84Strasbourg
Le Mans90-70Strasbourg
Strasbourg88-95Le Mans
Strasbourg71-80Le Mans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strasbourg 1502 · Le Mans 1565

	Strasbourg	Le Mans
Our model	54%	46%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 171.2 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · -7.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.2Strasbourg 84.3 · Le Mans 86.8

Match keys

H2H favours Le Mans: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Strasbourg	Le Mans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.6 / 87.2	91.4 / 86.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.2 / 90	98.6 / 89.8
Est. result	84	87

Est. total171.2

Line O/U178.5

Diff.7.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.83

Under 178.51.83

Diff.: 5.45 · Est. total: 173.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
14:47 +5’	2.30	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg 2–0–4 Le Mans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 Coupe De France	Le Mans	88-74	Strasbourg
31/01/26 France Ligue A	Strasbourg	103-96	Le Mans
08/11/25 France Ligue A	Le Mans	72-84	Strasbourg
19/04/25 France Ligue A	Le Mans	90-70	Strasbourg
04/10/24 France Ligue A	Strasbourg	88-95	Le Mans
24/04/24 France Ligue A	Strasbourg	71-80	Le Mans

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	6	6	0	581	520
2	Dijon	6	5	1	555	501
3	Le Mans	6	5	1	596	546
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	6	5	1	532	494
5	Chalon	6	4	2	571	503
6	Nanterre	6	4	2	514	477
7	Strasbourg	7	4	3	580	606
8	Roanne	6	3	3	485	495
9	Cholet	6	2	4	483	512
10	Boulazac	6	2	4	484	517
11	Pau-Orthez	6	2	4	488	528
12	Nancy	6	2	4	478	508
13	Bourg	6	2	4	543	540
14	Saint-Quentin	7	2	5	631	678
15	Limoges	6	1	5	526	546
16	Gravelines	6	0	6	468	544

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strasbourg	Le Mans
Saint-Quentin	98-94 W	98-87 W
Paris	84-98 L	101-103 L
Boulazac	87-75 W	97-72 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Le Mans (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strasbourg

LWLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Cholet France Ligue A	88-82	W
27/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	98-94	W
24/10	Chalon France Ligue A	79-106	L
16/10	Roanne France Ligue A	72-70	W
11/10	Paris France Ligue A	84-98	L
03/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	87-75	W
25/09	Dijon France Ligue A	72-81	L
30/05	Paris France Ligue A	75-89	L
28/05	Paris France Ligue A	87-82	W
26/05	Paris France Ligue A	64-95	L

Le Mans

WWLLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	106-97	W
24/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	97-72	W
18/10	Bourg France Ligue A	91-90	W
11/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	98-87	W
04/10	Paris France Ligue A	101-103	L
26/09	Gravelines France Ligue A	103-97	W
27/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	55-64	L
25/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	74-90	L
16/05	Limoges France Ligue A	101-84	W
09/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	88-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strasbourg vs Le Mans?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Strasbourg 43% · Le Mans 57%).

How many points are expected in Strasbourg vs Le Mans?

The model estimates 171.2 total points (Strasbourg 84.3 · Le Mans 86.8).