Basketball · France Ligue A · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Gravelines vs Nancy

Team pages: Gravelines · Nancy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.2Total

Gravelines82.6

Nancy84.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Gravelines Nancy

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Gravelines 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Nancy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Gravelines 3–3 Nancy (6 last)

Nancy88-93Gravelines
Gravelines107-79Nancy
Gravelines84-87Nancy
Nancy80-63Gravelines
Nancy69-59Gravelines
Gravelines83-76Nancy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gravelines 1392 · Nancy 1507

	Gravelines	Nancy
Our model	46%	54%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 167.2 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.2Gravelines 82.6 · Nancy 84.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gravelines	Nancy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.4 / 89.5	80.5 / 84.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75 / 90.8	81.2 / 84.8
Est. result	83	85

Est. total167.2

Line O/U164.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 165.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
18:49 +1’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gravelines 3–0–3 Nancy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 France Ligue A	Nancy	88-93	Gravelines
25/10/25 France Ligue A	Gravelines	107-79	Nancy
23/03/25 France Ligue A	Gravelines	84-87	Nancy
09/11/24 France Ligue A	Nancy	80-63	Gravelines
11/05/24 France Ligue A	Nancy	69-59	Gravelines
18/11/23 France Ligue A	Gravelines	83-76	Nancy

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	8	7	1	778	691
2	Dijon	7	6	1	652	572
3	Le Mans	7	6	1	690	615
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	7	6	1	638	591
5	Nanterre	7	5	2	607	558
6	Chalon	7	4	3	652	596
7	Roanne	7	4	3	565	563
8	Strasbourg	8	4	4	649	700
9	Boulazac	7	3	4	567	586
10	Cholet	8	3	5	648	699
11	Pau-Orthez	7	2	5	585	634
12	Limoges	7	2	5	605	623
13	Bourg	7	2	5	620	647
14	Nancy	7	2	5	555	587
15	Saint-Quentin	8	2	6	699	758
16	Gravelines	7	0	7	537	627

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gravelines	Nancy
Dijon	83-92 L	108-94 W
Nanterre	73-101 L	80-65 W
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	65-70 L	74-78 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nancy (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gravelines

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Boulazac France Ligue A	69-83	L
31/10	Roanne France Ligue A	69-89	L
24/10	Bourg France Ligue A	81-89	L
18/10	Dijon France Ligue A	83-92	L
10/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	73-101	L
04/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	65-70	L
26/09	Le Mans France Ligue A	97-103	L
16/05	Bourg France Ligue A	78-95	L
09/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-85	L
01/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	79-88	L

Nancy

LWLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Limoges France Ligue A	77-79	L
30/10	Dijon France Ligue A	108-94	W
25/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	74-78	L
17/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-65	W
10/10	Chalon France Ligue A	67-108	L
03/10	Cholet France Ligue A	76-85	L
27/09	Paris France Ligue A	73-78	L
20/05	Chalon France Ligue A	75-91	L
16/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	84-71	W
10/05	Cholet France Ligue A	91-94	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gravelines vs Nancy?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Gravelines 44% · Nancy 56%).

How many points are expected in Gravelines vs Nancy?

The model estimates 167.2 total points (Gravelines 82.6 · Nancy 84.7).