Basketball · France Ligue A · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Chalon vs Boulazac

Team pages: Chalon · Boulazac

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.4Total

Chalon91.1

Boulazac79.3

1X2

80% 20%

Chalon Boulazac

Recent form · 10 last

Chalon 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWLL

Boulazac 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Chalon 5–1 Boulazac (6 last)

Boulazac94-90Chalon
Chalon90-74Boulazac
Boulazac83-84Chalon
Chalon87-78Boulazac
Boulazac78-87Chalon
Chalon87-73Boulazac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chalon 1537 · Boulazac 1457

	Chalon	Boulazac
Our model	73%	27%
Market	81%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 170.4 points · Bet365 line 170 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.4Chalon 91.1 · Boulazac 79.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chalon (rating 1537 vs 1457).
Chalon is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Chalon: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chalon	Boulazac
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.5 / 86.3	79.9 / 81.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98.6 / 86.4	82.6 / 83.6
Est. result	91	79

Est. total170.4

Line O/U170

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11)1.83

2 (+11)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 1701.83

Under 1701.83

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 169.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
20:30 +25’	1.14	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chalon 5–0–1 Boulazac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 France Ligue A	Boulazac	94-90	Chalon
13/12/25 France Ligue A	Chalon	90-74	Boulazac
31/05/23 France Ligue B	Boulazac	83-84	Chalon
28/05/23 France Ligue B	Chalon	87-78	Boulazac
06/05/23 France Ligue B	Boulazac	78-87	Chalon
22/10/22 France Ligue B	Chalon	87-73	Boulazac

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	8	7	1	778	691
2	Dijon	7	6	1	652	572
3	Le Mans	7	6	1	690	615
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	7	6	1	638	591
5	Nanterre	7	5	2	607	558
6	Chalon	7	4	3	652	596
7	Roanne	7	4	3	565	563
8	Strasbourg	8	4	4	649	700
9	Boulazac	7	3	4	567	586
10	Cholet	8	3	5	648	699
11	Pau-Orthez	7	2	5	585	634
12	Limoges	7	2	5	605	623
13	Bourg	7	2	5	620	647
14	Nancy	7	2	5	555	587
15	Saint-Quentin	8	2	6	699	758
16	Gravelines	7	0	7	537	627

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chalon	Boulazac
Paris	112-116 L	75-90 L
Strasbourg	106-79 W	75-87 L
Cholet	86-77 W	68-77 L
Bourg	77-90 L	84-73 W
Limoges	82-74 W	99-89 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chalon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chalon

WWLWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Nanterre France Ligue A	81-93	L
01/11	Paris France Ligue A	112-116	L
24/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	106-79	W
17/10	Cholet France Ligue A	86-77	W
10/10	Nancy France Ligue A	108-67	W
03/10	Bourg France Ligue A	77-90	L
26/09	Limoges France Ligue A	82-74	W
23/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	81-102	L
20/05	Nancy France Ligue A	91-75	W
16/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	91-90	W

Boulazac

LLWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Gravelines France Ligue A	83-69	W
31/10	Limoges France Ligue A	99-89	W
24/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	72-97	L
18/10	Paris France Ligue A	75-90	L
10/10	Bourg France Ligue A	84-73	W
03/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	75-87	L
26/09	Roanne France Ligue A	79-81	L
16/05	Monaco France Ligue A	92-74	W
07/05	Limoges France Ligue A	72-80	L
02/05	Cholet France Ligue A	68-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chalon vs Boulazac?

Our model gives 80% to Chalon.

How many points are expected in Chalon vs Boulazac?

The model estimates 170.4 total points (Chalon 91.1 · Boulazac 79.3).