Basketball · France Ligue A · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Saint-Quentin vs Cholet

Team pages: Saint-Quentin · Cholet

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.6Total

Saint-Quentin84.3

Cholet86.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Saint-Quentin Cholet

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Saint-Quentin 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLWL

Cholet 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Saint-Quentin 2–4 Cholet (6 last)

Cholet93-80Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin77-68Cholet
Saint-Quentin71-77Cholet
Cholet82-59Saint-Quentin
Cholet73-69Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin75-60Cholet

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint-Quentin 1413 · Cholet 1476

	Saint-Quentin	Cholet
Our model	54%	46%
Market	42%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 170.6 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.6Saint-Quentin 84.3 · Cholet 86.4

Match keys

H2H favours Cholet: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint-Quentin	Cholet
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.5 / 93	82.5 / 88.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.2 / 93	78.6 / 89.4
Est. result	84	86

Est. total170.6

Line O/U172.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.22

21.59

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.83

2 (-3)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 2.4 · Est. total: 174.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.22 → 2.22	Bet365 2.22
2	1.59 → 1.59	Bet365 1.59

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
19:14 +36’	2.22	1.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Quentin 2–0–4 Cholet

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 France Ligue A	Cholet	93-80	Saint-Quentin
22/11/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	77-68	Cholet
19/04/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	71-77	Cholet
11/10/24 France Ligue A	Cholet	82-59	Saint-Quentin
23/03/24 France Ligue A	Cholet	73-69	Saint-Quentin
25/11/23 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	75-60	Cholet

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	8	7	1	778	691
2	Dijon	7	6	1	652	572
3	Le Mans	7	6	1	690	615
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	7	6	1	638	591
5	Nanterre	7	5	2	607	558
6	Chalon	7	4	3	652	596
7	Roanne	7	4	3	565	563
8	Strasbourg	8	4	4	649	700
9	Boulazac	7	3	4	567	586
10	Cholet	8	3	5	648	699
11	Pau-Orthez	7	2	5	585	634
12	Limoges	7	2	5	605	623
13	Bourg	7	2	5	620	647
14	Nancy	7	2	5	555	587
15	Saint-Quentin	8	2	6	699	758
16	Gravelines	7	0	7	537	627

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint-Quentin	Cholet
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	99-94 W	85-97 L
Strasbourg	94-98 L	82-88 L
Dijon	81-91 L	71-97 L
Pau-Orthez	89-102 L	85-79 W
Nancy	71-84 L	85-76 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Saint-Quentin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint-Quentin

LLWLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Roanne France Ligue A	68-80	L
01/11	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	99-94	W
27/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	94-98	L
23/10	Dijon France Ligue A	81-91	L
17/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-102	L
11/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	87-98	L
03/10	Limoges France Ligue A	75-92	L
26/09	Bourg France Ligue A	106-103	W
16/05	Nancy France Ligue A	71-84	L
09/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	85-88	L

Cholet

LLLWWLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Dijon France Ligue A	71-97	L
03/11	Paris France Ligue A	94-90	W
31/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	82-88	L
24/10	Nanterre France Ligue A	69-86	L
17/10	Chalon France Ligue A	77-86	L
10/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	85-79	W
03/10	Nancy France Ligue A	85-76	W
27/09	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	85-97	L
09/06	Paris France Ligue A	91-94	L
07/06	Paris France Ligue A	86-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint-Quentin vs Cholet?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Saint-Quentin 44% · Cholet 56%).

How many points are expected in Saint-Quentin vs Cholet?

The model estimates 170.6 total points (Saint-Quentin 84.3 · Cholet 86.4).