Basketball · France Ligue A · 14/11, 20:30

Prediction: Limoges vs Paris

Team pages: Limoges · Paris

Prediction summary

Estimated points

181.3Total

Limoges87.4

Paris93.9

1X2

32% 68%

Limoges Paris

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Paris 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Limoges 0–6 Paris (6 last)

Limoges80-86Paris
Paris115-93Limoges
Limoges71-78Paris
Paris96-88Limoges
Paris101-77Limoges
Limoges65-83Paris

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges 1466 · Paris 1587

	Limoges	Paris
Our model	46%	54%
Market	28%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 181.3 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points181.3Limoges 87.4 · Paris 93.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris (rating 1466 vs 1587).
Paris is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Paris: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges	Paris
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.4 / 87.9	95.4 / 88.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.8 / 93.2	99.8 / 86.6
Est. result	87	94

Est. total181.3

Line O/U178.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

21.29

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.83

Under 178.51.83

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 179.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
19:23 +29’	3.30	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges 0–0–6 Paris

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 France Ligue A	Limoges	80-86	Paris
09/11/25 France Ligue A	Paris	115-93	Limoges
04/05/25 France Ligue A	Limoges	71-78	Paris
23/12/24 France Ligue A	Paris	96-88	Limoges
23/03/24 France Ligue A	Paris	101-77	Limoges
30/09/23 France Ligue A	Limoges	65-83	Paris

Standings · France Ligue A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Paris	8	7	1	778	691
2	Dijon	7	6	1	652	572
3	Le Mans	7	6	1	690	615
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	7	6	1	638	591
5	Nanterre	7	5	2	607	558
6	Chalon	7	4	3	652	596
7	Roanne	7	4	3	565	563
8	Strasbourg	8	4	4	649	700
9	Boulazac	7	3	4	567	586
10	Cholet	8	3	5	648	699
11	Pau-Orthez	7	2	5	585	634
12	Limoges	7	2	5	605	623
13	Bourg	7	2	5	620	647
14	Nancy	7	2	5	555	587
15	Saint-Quentin	8	2	6	699	758
16	Gravelines	7	0	7	537	627

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges	Paris
Nancy	79-77 W	78-73 W
Boulazac	89-99 L	90-75 W
Chalon	74-82 L	116-112 W
Le Mans	84-101 L	103-101 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Paris (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Nancy France Ligue A	79-77	W
31/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	89-99	L
25/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	81-85	L
17/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	94-97	L
09/10	Dijon France Ligue A	96-108	L
03/10	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	92-75	W
26/09	Chalon France Ligue A	74-82	L
16/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	84-101	L
07/05	Boulazac France Ligue A	80-72	W
02/05	Le Portel France Ligue A	105-83	W

Paris

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Bourg France Ligue A	107-77	W
03/11	Cholet France Ligue A	90-94	L
01/11	Chalon France Ligue A	116-112	W
25/10	Roanne France Ligue A	96-75	W
18/10	Boulazac France Ligue A	90-75	W
11/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	98-84	W
04/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	103-101	W
27/09	Nancy France Ligue A	78-73	W
23/06	Monaco France Ligue A	92-101	L
21/06	Monaco France Ligue A	84-96	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges vs Paris?

Our model gives 68% to Paris.

How many points are expected in Limoges vs Paris?

The model estimates 181.3 total points (Limoges 87.4 · Paris 93.9).