BetsTalentBetsTalent
ES EN
Log in Sign up Telegram
Basketball · France Ligue A · 03/11, 19:30

Prediction: Cholet vs Paris

Team pages: Cholet · Paris

Prediction summary
Estimated points
177.9Total
Cholet87
Paris90.9
1X2
39% 61%
Cholet Paris
Recent form · 10 last
Cholet 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWWLLL
Paris 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Cholet 1–5 Paris (6 last)
  • Cholet91-94Paris
  • Cholet86-95Paris
  • Paris100-77Cholet
  • Paris89-90Cholet
  • Cholet93-99Paris
  • Paris107-84Cholet
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cholet 1479 · Paris 1591
CholetParis
Our model47%53%
Market37%63%
Estimated total (ours) 177.9 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points177.9Cholet 87 · Paris 90.9

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris (rating 1479 vs 1591).
  • H2H favours Paris: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CholetParis
Points F|A (Last 10)82.7 / 8993.5 / 89.6
Points F|A (Last 5)79.6 / 83100.6 / 89.4
Est. result8791
Est. total177.9
Line O/U176.5
Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cholet 1–0–5 Paris

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
09/06/26
France Ligue A
Cholet91-94Paris
07/06/26
France Ligue A
Cholet86-95Paris
04/06/26
France Ligue A
Paris100-77Cholet
02/06/26
France Ligue A
Paris89-90Cholet
19/04/26
France Ligue A
Cholet93-99Paris
21/12/25
France Ligue A
Paris107-84Cholet

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Paris 660 5815200
2 Dijon 651 5555010
3 Le Mans 651 5965460
4 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 651 5324940
5 Chalon 642 5715030
6 Nanterre 642 5144770
7 Strasbourg 743 5806060
8 Roanne 633 4854950
9 Cholet 624 4835120
10 Boulazac 624 4845170
11 Pau-Orthez 624 4885280
12 Nancy 624 4785080
13 Bourg 624 5435400
14 Saint-Quentin 725 6316780
15 Limoges 615 5265460
16 Gravelines 606 4685440

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCholetParis
Strasbourg 82-88 L 98-84 W
Chalon 77-86 L 116-112 W
Nancy 85-76 W 78-73 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Paris (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cholet

WLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
 82-88 L
24/10 Nanterre
France Ligue A
 69-86 L
17/10 Chalon
France Ligue A
 77-86 L
10/10 Pau-Orthez
France Ligue A
 85-79 W
03/10 Nancy
France Ligue A
 85-76 W
27/09 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
France Ligue A
 85-97 L
09/06 Paris
France Ligue A
 91-94 L
07/06 Paris
France Ligue A
 86-95 L
04/06 Paris
France Ligue A
 77-100 L
02/06 Paris
France Ligue A
 90-89 W

Paris

LWLLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
01/11 Chalon
France Ligue A
 116-112 W
25/10 Roanne
France Ligue A
 96-75 W
18/10 Boulazac
France Ligue A
 90-75 W
11/10 Strasbourg
France Ligue A
 98-84 W
04/10 Le Mans
France Ligue A
 103-101 W
27/09 Nancy
France Ligue A
 78-73 W
23/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
 92-101 L
21/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
 84-96 L
19/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
 88-77 W
17/06 Monaco
France Ligue A
 90-102 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cholet vs Paris?

Our model gives 61% to Paris.

How many points are expected in Cholet vs Paris?

The model estimates 177.9 total points (Cholet 87 · Paris 90.9).