Basketball · France Ligue A · 25/09, 20:00
Prediction: Dijon vs Strasbourg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
186.1Total
Dijon96.1
Strasbourg90
1X2
Dijon
Strasbourg
Recent form · 10 last
Dijon
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Strasbourg
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dijon
5–1
Strasbourg
(6 last)
- Strasbourg96-98Dijon
- Dijon95-89Strasbourg
- Strasbourg58-77Dijon
- Dijon91-94Strasbourg
- Dijon83-70Strasbourg
- Dijon80-68Strasbourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dijon 1505 · Strasbourg 1432
| Dijon | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
186.1 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · +11.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points186.1Dijon 96.1 · Strasbourg 90
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dijon (rating 1505 vs 1432).
- Dijon is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Dijon: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Dijon | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.5 / 96.5 | 87.3 / 91 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 94.6 / 89.2 | 79.8 / 87.6 |
| Est. result | 96 | 90 |
Est. total186.1
Line O/U174.5
Diff.11.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dijon 5–0–1 Strasbourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 France Ligue A | Strasbourg | 96-98 | Dijon |
| 25/10/25 France Ligue A | Dijon | 95-89 | Strasbourg |
| 12/04/25 France Ligue A | Strasbourg | 58-77 | Dijon |
| 20/12/24 France Ligue A | Dijon | 91-94 | Strasbourg |
| 27/04/24 Coupe De France | Dijon | 83-70 | Strasbourg |
| 06/04/24 France Ligue A | Dijon | 80-68 | Strasbourg |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gravelines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulazac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cholet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau-Orthez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chalon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limoges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nanterre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Saint-Quentin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dijon | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Le Portel | 126-80 W | 102-65 W |
| Bourg | 101-83 W | 71-91 L |
| Monaco | 95-108 L | 114-118 L |
| Paris | 76-92 L | 75-89 L |
| Saint-Quentin | 119-127 L | 87-109 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dijon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dijon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
126-80 | W |
| 09/05 | Bourg France Ligue A |
101-83 | W |
| 02/05 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
69-87 | L |
| 17/04 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
103-85 | W |
| 11/04 | Cholet France Ligue A |
74-111 | L |
| 05/04 | Monaco France Ligue A |
95-108 | L |
| 27/03 | Paris France Ligue A |
76-92 | L |
| 20/03 | Nancy France Ligue A |
94-96 | L |
| 15/03 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
119-127 | L |
| 07/03 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
98-96 | W |
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Paris France Ligue A |
75-89 | L |
| 28/05 | Paris France Ligue A |
87-82 | W |
| 26/05 | Paris France Ligue A |
64-95 | L |
| 23/05 | Chalon France Ligue A |
102-81 | W |
| 20/05 | Bourg France Ligue A |
71-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Chalon France Ligue A |
90-91 | L |
| 09/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
81-89 | L |
| 03/05 | Monaco France Ligue A |
114-118 | L |
| 28/04 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
102-65 | W |
| 18/04 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
87-109 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dijon vs Strasbourg?
Our model gives 67% to Dijon.
How many points are expected in Dijon vs Strasbourg?
The model estimates 186.1 total points (Dijon 96.1 · Strasbourg 90).