Basketball · France Ligue A · 26/09, 18:30

Prediction: Gravelines vs Le Mans

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.4Total

Gravelines84.2

Le Mans89.2

1X2

36% 64%

Gravelines Le Mans

Recent form · 10 last

Gravelines 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLLL

Le Mans 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Gravelines 1–5 Le Mans (6 last)

Gravelines83-96Le Mans
Le Mans87-66Gravelines
Gravelines91-85Le Mans
Le Mans83-78Gravelines
Le Mans78-68Gravelines
Gravelines71-84Le Mans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gravelines 1422 · Le Mans 1546

	Gravelines	Le Mans
Our model	45%	55%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 173.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.4Gravelines 84.2 · Le Mans 89.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Mans (rating 1422 vs 1546).
H2H favours Le Mans: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gravelines	Le Mans
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.8 / 91.1	89.2 / 83.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.8 / 91.4	84 / 79.4
Est. result	84	89

Est. total173.4

Line O/U171.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 174.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.72▲	Bet365 2.72
2	1.42 → 1.41▼	Bet365 1.41

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
14:49 +2’	2.70	1.42
15:31 +19’	2.72▲	1.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gravelines 1–0–5 Le Mans

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 France Ligue A	Gravelines	83-96	Le Mans
20/12/25 France Ligue A	Le Mans	87-66	Gravelines
13/04/25 France Ligue A	Gravelines	91-85	Le Mans
10/01/25 France Ligue A	Le Mans	83-78	Gravelines
13/01/24 France Ligue A	Le Mans	78-68	Gravelines
04/11/23 France Ligue A	Gravelines	71-84	Le Mans

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gravelines	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Boulazac	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cholet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pau-Orthez	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chalon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Limoges	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nanterre	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paris	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Roanne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint-Quentin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gravelines	Le Mans
Nanterre	80-85 L	55-64 L
Limoges	64-93 L	101-84 W
Le Portel	100-78 W	94-72 W
Monaco	77-89 L	85-99 L
Boulazac	91-92 L	108-94 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gravelines

LWLLWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/05	Bourg France Ligue A	78-95	L
09/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	80-85	L
01/05	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A	79-88	L
18/04	Le Mans France Ligue A	83-96	L
11/04	Limoges France Ligue A	64-93	L
05/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	100-78	W
27/03	Chalon France Ligue A	81-86	L
21/03	Monaco France Ligue A	77-89	L
15/03	Paris France Ligue A	115-109	W
08/03	Boulazac France Ligue A	91-92	L

Le Mans

WLLWWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	55-64	L
25/05	Nanterre France Ligue A	74-90	L
16/05	Limoges France Ligue A	101-84	W
09/05	Saint-Quentin France Ligue A	88-85	W
30/04	Nancy France Ligue A	102-74	W
18/04	Gravelines France Ligue A	96-83	W
11/04	Le Portel France Ligue A	94-72	W
04/04	Cholet France Ligue A	89-94	L
29/03	Monaco France Ligue A	85-99	L
21/03	Boulazac France Ligue A	108-94	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gravelines vs Le Mans?

Our model gives 64% to Le Mans.

How many points are expected in Gravelines vs Le Mans?

The model estimates 173.4 total points (Gravelines 84.2 · Le Mans 89.2).