Basketball · France Ligue A · 26/09, 18:30
Prediction: Saint-Quentin vs Bourg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.1Total
Saint-Quentin82.8
Bourg92.3
1X2
Saint-Quentin
Bourg
Recent form · 10 last
Saint-Quentin
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Bourg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saint-Quentin
2–4
Bourg
(6 last)
- Bourg71-89Saint-Quentin
- Saint-Quentin75-88Bourg
- Saint-Quentin81-83Bourg
- Bourg96-85Saint-Quentin
- Bourg86-71Saint-Quentin
- Saint-Quentin92-61Bourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saint-Quentin 1483 · Bourg 1456
| Saint-Quentin | Bourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.1 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +4.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.1Saint-Quentin 82.8 · Bourg 92.3
Match keys
- Bourg is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Bourg: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saint-Quentin | Bourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.7 / 85.4 | 87.5 / 87.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.8 / 83.2 | 89.4 / 89 |
| Est. result | 83 | 92 |
Est. total175.1
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Quentin 2–0–4 Bourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 France Ligue A | Bourg | 71-89 | Saint-Quentin |
| 23/12/25 France Ligue A | Saint-Quentin | 75-88 | Bourg |
| 08/02/25 France Ligue A | Saint-Quentin | 81-83 | Bourg |
| 27/12/24 France Ligue A | Bourg | 96-85 | Saint-Quentin |
| 28/12/23 France Ligue A | Bourg | 86-71 | Saint-Quentin |
| 11/11/23 France Ligue A | Saint-Quentin | 92-61 | Bourg |
Standings · France Ligue A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gravelines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulazac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cholet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau-Orthez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chalon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Limoges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nanterre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Saint-Quentin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saint-Quentin | Bourg |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 109-87 W | 91-71 W |
| Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne | 70-86 L | 77-91 L |
| Chalon | 65-86 L | 84-100 L |
| Dijon | 127-119 W | 83-101 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saint-Quentin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Nancy France Ligue A |
71-84 | L |
| 09/05 | Le Mans France Ligue A |
85-88 | L |
| 03/05 | Bourg France Ligue A |
89-71 | W |
| 18/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
109-87 | W |
| 12/04 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
70-86 | L |
| 04/04 | Boulazac France Ligue A |
88-81 | W |
| 28/03 | Nanterre France Ligue A |
75-80 | L |
| 21/03 | Chalon France Ligue A |
65-86 | L |
| 15/03 | Dijon France Ligue A |
127-119 | W |
| 07/03 | Le Portel France Ligue A |
108-72 | W |
Bourg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Monaco France Ligue A |
103-114 | L |
| 25/05 | Monaco France Ligue A |
75-81 | L |
| 20/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue A |
91-71 | W |
| 16/05 | Gravelines France Ligue A |
95-78 | W |
| 09/05 | Dijon France Ligue A |
83-101 | L |
| 05/05 | Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne France Ligue A |
77-91 | L |
| 03/05 | Saint-Quentin France Ligue A |
71-89 | L |
| 18/04 | Chalon France Ligue A |
84-100 | L |
| 15/04 | Limoges France Ligue A |
92-71 | W |
| 12/04 | Monaco France Ligue A |
104-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saint-Quentin vs Bourg?
Our model gives 75% to Bourg.
How many points are expected in Saint-Quentin vs Bourg?
The model estimates 175.1 total points (Saint-Quentin 82.8 · Bourg 92.3).