Basketball · France Ligue A · 01/11, 16:30

Prediction: Saint-Quentin vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Team pages: Saint-Quentin · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.7Total

Saint-Quentin83.1

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne89.6

1X2

32% 68%

Saint-Quentin Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Recent form · 10 last

Saint-Quentin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLLLL

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Saint-Quentin 0–6 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne (6 last)

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne86-70Saint-Quentin
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne99-74Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin76-81Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne81-75Saint-Quentin
Saint-Quentin54-76Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Saint-Quentin63-77Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint-Quentin 1424 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 1538

	Saint-Quentin	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Our model	47%	53%
Market	28%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 172.7 points · Bet365 line 172 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.7Saint-Quentin 83.1 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 89.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne (rating 1424 vs 1538).
Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint-Quentin	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.6 / 91.4	81.8 / 78.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.2 / 96.2	87.6 / 79
Est. result	83	90

Est. total172.7

Line O/U172

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

21.29

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 1721.83

Under 1721.83

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 170.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
13:50 +3’	3.30	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Quentin 0–0–6 Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	86-70	Saint-Quentin
09/12/25 Coupe De France	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	99-74	Saint-Quentin
05/10/25 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	76-81	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
06/04/25 France Ligue A	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	81-75	Saint-Quentin
11/02/25 Coupe De France	Saint-Quentin	54-76	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
27/10/24 France Ligue A	Saint-Quentin	63-77	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

Standings · France Ligue A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dijon	5	5	0	461	393
2	Paris	5	5	0	465	408
3	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne	5	5	0	438	395
4	Chalon	5	4	1	459	387
5	Le Mans	5	4	1	490	449
6	Nanterre	5	3	2	413	379
7	Strasbourg	6	3	3	492	524
8	Cholet	5	2	3	401	424
9	Bourg	5	2	3	445	439
10	Roanne	5	2	3	396	426
11	Pau-Orthez	5	2	3	391	422
12	Limoges	5	1	4	437	447
13	Boulazac	5	1	4	385	428
14	Nancy	5	1	4	370	414
15	Saint-Quentin	6	1	5	532	584
16	Gravelines	5	0	5	399	455

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint-Quentin	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne
Strasbourg	94-98 L	89-81 W
Limoges	75-92 L	97-94 W
Nancy	71-84 L	78-74 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint-Quentin

WWLLWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Strasbourg France Ligue A	94-98	L
23/10	Dijon France Ligue A	81-91	L
17/10	Pau-Orthez France Ligue A	89-102	L
11/10	Le Mans France Ligue A	87-98	L
03/10	Limoges France Ligue A	75-92	L
26/09	Bourg France Ligue A	106-103	W
16/05	Nancy France Ligue A	71-84	L
09/05	Le Mans France Ligue A	85-88	L
03/05	Bourg France Ligue A	89-71	W
18/04	Strasbourg France Ligue A	109-87	W

Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne

WLWLLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Nancy France Ligue A	78-74	W
17/10	Limoges France Ligue A	97-94	W
11/10	Roanne France Ligue A	96-77	W
04/10	Gravelines France Ligue A	70-65	W
27/09	Cholet France Ligue A	97-85	W
30/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-80	L
28/05	Cholet France Ligue A	65-77	L
26/05	Cholet France Ligue A	75-67	W
16/05	Paris France Ligue A	76-87	L
09/05	Strasbourg France Ligue A	89-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint-Quentin vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne?

Our model gives 68% to Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne.

How many points are expected in Saint-Quentin vs Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne?

The model estimates 172.7 total points (Saint-Quentin 83.1 · Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne 89.6).