Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 27/08, 01:15
Prediction: Olimpia vs Tabare
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.6Total
Olimpia81.7
Tabare71.9
1X2
Olimpia
Tabare
Markets
Under 156 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Tabare
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia
2–4
Tabare
(6 last)
- Olimpia66-69Tabare
- Tabare70-63Olimpia
- Tabare79-92Olimpia
- Olimpia91-85Tabare
- Olimpia75-83Tabare
- Tabare79-62Olimpia
Model analysis
Estimated points153.6Olimpia 81.7 · Tabare 71.9
Over / Under 156Under · 70%recent trend · ~150 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia (rating 1565 vs 1451).
- Olimpia is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Tabare: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Olimpia | Tabare | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.1 / 69.6 | 76.2 / 78.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.8 / 70.2 | 73.8 / 75.8 |
| Est. result | 82 | 72 |
Est. total153.6
Line O/U156
Diff.2.4
Over / Under30% / 70%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia 2–0–4 Tabare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 66-69 | Tabare |
| 17/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Tabare | 70-63 | Olimpia |
| 27/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Tabare | 79-92 | Olimpia |
| 29/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 91-85 | Tabare |
| 22/08/23 Uruguay Metro League | Olimpia | 75-83 | Tabare |
| 23/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Tabare | 79-62 | Olimpia |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1551 | 1378 | 34 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1589 | 1399 | 34 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1464 | 1379 | 32 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Tabare | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1509 | 1445 | 28 |
| 7 | Sayago | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1442 | 1455 | 28 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1448 | 1521 | 27 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia | Tabare |
|---|---|---|
| Stockolmo | 83-66 W | 72-84 L |
| Sayago | 76-63 W | 68-71 L |
| Trouville | 73-75 L | 79-92 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 97-63 W | 89-65 W |
| Verdirrojo | 75-84 L | 72-78 L |
| Lagomar | 84-69 W | 61-67 L |
| Olivol Mundial | 61-58 W | 74-58 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-66 | W |
| 19/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-63 | W |
| 14/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-75 | L |
| 11/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-63 | W |
| 08/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-84 | L |
| 01/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-69 | W |
| 28/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
93-81 | W |
| 22/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-58 | W |
| 18/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-59 | W |
Tabare
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-71 | L |
| 19/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-65 | W |
| 15/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-67 | L |
| 12/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-84 | L |
| 08/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-92 | L |
| 01/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-78 | L |
| 29/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-100 | L |
| 25/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-91 | L |
| 22/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-76 | L |
| 18/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-58 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia vs Tabare?
Our model gives 76% to Olimpia.
How many points are expected in Olimpia vs Tabare?
The model estimates 153.6 total points (Olimpia 81.7 · Tabare 71.9).
Over or under 156 points?
Recent history points to under 156 points (70%).