Prediction: Albatros vs Marne

Team pages: Albatros · Marne

Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.5Total
Albatros81.5
Marne80.1
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
54% 46%
Albatros Marne

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Albatros 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Marne 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Albatros 2–4 Marne (6 last)
  • Marne81-77Albatros
  • Marne76-68Albatros
  • Albatros90-78Marne
  • Albatros66-68Marne
  • Marne73-62Albatros
  • Marne67-69Albatros
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albatros 1426 · Marne 1463
AlbatrosMarne
Our model58%42%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 161.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points161.5Albatros 81.5 · Marne 80.1

Match keys

  • H2H favours Marne: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

AlbatrosMarne
Points F|A (Last 10)77.4 / 8578.1 / 83.5
Points F|A (Last 5)78 / 83.281.4 / 81.8
Est. result8280
Est. total161.5
Line O/U159.5
Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Albatros 204 Marne

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Marne81-77Albatros
19/08/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Marne76-68Albatros
11/06/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Albatros90-78Marne
13/09/24
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Albatros66-68Marne
09/09/24
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Marne73-62Albatros
25/07/24
Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso
Marne67-69Albatros

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo 18117 1605151929
2 Larre Borges 1899 1503148127
3 Olivol Mundial 18612 1276137424
4 Marne 18612 1359148224
5 Albatros 18315 1394157721
6 Colon 18216 1310156716

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlbatrosMarne
Olivol Mundial 90-71 W 67-80 L
Larre Borges 68-92 L 84-94 L
Montevideo 87-96 L 90-82 W
Colon 73-74 L 99-90 W
Lagomar 85-94 L 70-82 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Marne (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albatros

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
02/09 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
77-81 L
29/08 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-71 W
23/08 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
68-92 L
19/08 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
68-76 L
14/08 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
87-96 L
11/08 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-74 L
28/07 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-94 L
25/07 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
85-87 L
21/07 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
85-94 L
17/07 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
70-85 L

Marne

LLLLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
02/09 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-77 W
29/08 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
99-90 W
23/08 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-80 L
19/08 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-68 W
12/08 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-94 L
06/08 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-82 W
29/07 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
70-82 L
26/07 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-102 L
21/07 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-83 L
18/07 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-77 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albatros vs Marne?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Albatros 54% · Marne 46%).

How many points are expected in Albatros vs Marne?

The model estimates 161.5 total points (Albatros 81.5 · Marne 80.1).