Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 04/09, 01:15
Prediction: Stockolmo vs Sayago
Team pages: Stockolmo · Sayago
Prediction summary
Estimated points
145.8Total
Stockolmo75.8
Sayago70
1X2
Stockolmo
Sayago
Recent form · 10 last
Stockolmo
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Sayago
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stockolmo
5–1
Sayago
(6 last)
- Sayago73-77Stockolmo
- Sayago66-75Stockolmo
- Sayago67-64Stockolmo
- Stockolmo105-66Sayago
- Stockolmo82-76Sayago
- Stockolmo98-82Sayago
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stockolmo 1523 · Sayago 1494
| Stockolmo | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
145.8 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points145.8Stockolmo 75.8 · Sayago 70
Match keys
- Stockolmo is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Stockolmo: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Stockolmo | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.7 / 69.5 | 68.4 / 70.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.2 / 71.8 | 69.2 / 67.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 70 |
Est. total145.8
Line O/U145.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stockolmo 5–0–1 Sayago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 73-77 | Stockolmo |
| 21/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 66-75 | Stockolmo |
| 03/09/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 67-64 | Stockolmo |
| 21/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Stockolmo | 105-66 | Sayago |
| 15/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Stockolmo | 82-76 | Sayago |
| 16/08/22 Uruguay Metro League | Stockolmo | 98-82 | Sayago |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1674 | 1461 | 36 |
| 2 | Trouville | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1624 | 1463 | 35 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1517 | 1459 | 33 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Sayago | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1522 | 1508 | 30 |
| 7 | Tabare | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1571 | 1530 | 29 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1533 | 1594 | 29 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stockolmo | Sayago |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 66-83 L | 63-76 L |
| Trouville | 81-54 W | 30-38 L |
| Verdirrojo | 68-77 L | 80-53 W |
| Tabare | 84-72 W | 71-68 W |
| Urupan de Pando | 85-74 W | 64-63 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Stockolmo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stockolmo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-83 | L |
| 18/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-54 | W |
| 15/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-77 | L |
| 12/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-72 | W |
| 09/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-73 | W |
| 05/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-74 | W |
| 29/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-87 | L |
| 24/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-55 | W |
| 21/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-66 | W |
| 18/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
50-54 | L |
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-53 | W |
| 22/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-68 | W |
| 19/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-76 | L |
| 15/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-63 | W |
| 12/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
| 01/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
30-38 | L |
| 28/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-90 | L |
| 25/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-86 | W |
| 21/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-75 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stockolmo vs Sayago?
Our model gives 66% to Stockolmo.
How many points are expected in Stockolmo vs Sayago?
The model estimates 145.8 total points (Stockolmo 75.8 · Sayago 70).