Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 04/09, 01:15
Prediction: Verdirrojo vs Lagomar
Team pages: Verdirrojo · Lagomar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.7Total
Verdirrojo76.8
Lagomar72.9
1X2
Verdirrojo
Lagomar
Recent form · 10 last
Verdirrojo
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Lagomar
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verdirrojo
3–3
Lagomar
(6 last)
- Lagomar73-57Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo74-65Lagomar
- Lagomar106-90Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo87-63Lagomar
- Lagomar103-80Verdirrojo
- Verdirrojo75-72Lagomar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verdirrojo 1535 · Lagomar 1574
| Verdirrojo | Lagomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.7 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · -0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.7Verdirrojo 76.8 · Lagomar 72.9
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Verdirrojo | Lagomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.4 / 72.4 | 79 / 72.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 67 / 73.4 | 77 / 69.8 |
| Est. result | 77 | 73 |
Est. total149.7
Line O/U150.5
Diff.0.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verdirrojo 3–0–3 Lagomar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 73-57 | Verdirrojo |
| 15/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 74-65 | Lagomar |
| 05/08/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 106-90 | Verdirrojo |
| 21/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 87-63 | Lagomar |
| 10/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Lagomar | 103-80 | Verdirrojo |
| 05/06/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 75-72 | Lagomar |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1674 | 1461 | 36 |
| 2 | Trouville | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1624 | 1463 | 35 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1517 | 1459 | 33 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Sayago | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1522 | 1508 | 30 |
| 7 | Tabare | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1571 | 1530 | 29 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1533 | 1594 | 29 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Verdirrojo | Lagomar |
|---|---|---|
| Sayago | 53-80 L | 78-68 W |
| Urupan de Pando | 76-77 L | 87-80 W |
| Trouville | 72-69 W | 80-83 L |
| Olimpia | 84-75 W | 69-84 L |
| Tabare | 78-72 W | 67-61 W |
| Albatros | 94-71 W | 94-85 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Verdirrojo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verdirrojo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
53-80 | L |
| 22/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-77 | L |
| 18/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
57-73 | L |
| 15/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-68 | W |
| 11/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-69 | W |
| 08/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-75 | W |
| 01/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-72 | W |
| 28/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-71 | W |
| 25/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-66 | W |
| 22/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-73 | W |
Lagomar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-83 | L |
| 18/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-57 | W |
| 15/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-61 | W |
| 12/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-68 | W |
| 08/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-80 | W |
| 01/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-84 | L |
| 29/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-70 | W |
| 26/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-61 | W |
| 24/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-80 | W |
| 21/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verdirrojo vs Lagomar?
Our model gives 61% to Verdirrojo.
How many points are expected in Verdirrojo vs Lagomar?
The model estimates 149.7 total points (Verdirrojo 76.8 · Lagomar 72.9).