Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 05/09, 01:15
Prediction: Trouville vs Larre Borges
Team pages: Trouville · Larre Borges
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155.5Total
Trouville80.8
Larre Borges74.7
1X2
Trouville
Larre Borges
Recent form · 10 last
Trouville
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Larre Borges
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trouville
6–0
Larre Borges
(6 last)
- Larre Borges80-97Trouville
- Larre Borges0-20Trouville
- Trouville92-65Larre Borges
- Larre Borges84-90Trouville
- Trouville93-75Larre Borges
- Trouville103-87Larre Borges
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trouville 1536 · Larre Borges 1526
| Trouville | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
155.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155.5Trouville 80.8 · Larre Borges 74.7
Match keys
- Trouville is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Trouville: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trouville | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.8 / 73.5 | 85.8 / 78.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.8 / 78.2 | 92.4 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 81 | 75 |
Est. total155.5
Line O/U159.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trouville 6–0–0 Larre Borges
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Larre Borges | 80-97 | Trouville |
| 28/03/24 Uruguay Liga | Larre Borges | 0-20 | Trouville |
| 12/03/24 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 92-65 | Larre Borges |
| 16/02/24 Uruguay Liga | Larre Borges | 84-90 | Trouville |
| 06/12/23 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 93-75 | Larre Borges |
| 10/01/23 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 103-87 | Larre Borges |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1605 | 1519 | 29 |
| 2 | Larre Borges | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1503 | 1481 | 27 |
| 3 | Olivol Mundial | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1276 | 1374 | 24 |
| 4 | Marne | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1359 | 1482 | 24 |
| 5 | Albatros | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1394 | 1577 | 21 |
| 6 | Colon | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1310 | 1567 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trouville | Larre Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Lagomar | 83-80 W | 77-63 W |
| Verdirrojo | 69-72 L | 73-77 L |
| Tabare | 92-79 W | 78-63 W |
| Olivol Mundial | 87-78 W | 76-90 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-85 | L |
| 21/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-80 | W |
| 18/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-81 | L |
| 14/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-73 | W |
| 11/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-72 | L |
| 08/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-79 | W |
| 01/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
38-30 | W |
| 28/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-93 | L |
| 22/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-64 | W |
Larre Borges
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-63 | W |
| 27/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-105 | L |
| 23/08 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-68 | W |
| 19/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
101-87 | W |
| 12/08 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-84 | W |
| 05/08 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-90 | L |
| 30/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-62 | W |
| 25/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-85 | W |
| 22/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
| 17/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trouville vs Larre Borges?
Our model gives 67% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Trouville vs Larre Borges?
The model estimates 155.5 total points (Trouville 80.8 · Larre Borges 74.7).