Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 27/08, 01:15
Prediction: Urupan de Pando vs Trouville
Team pages: Urupan de Pando · Trouville
Prediction summary
Estimated points
148.7Total
Urupan de Pando71.8
Trouville76.8
1X2
Urupan de Pando
Trouville
Recent form · 10 last
Urupan de Pando
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Trouville
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urupan de Pando
4–2
Trouville
(6 last)
- Trouville78-71Urupan de Pando
- Urupan de Pando85-79Trouville
- Urupan de Pando97-90Trouville
- Trouville62-88Urupan de Pando
- Urupan de Pando87-95Trouville
- Trouville53-85Urupan de Pando
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urupan de Pando 1448 · Trouville 1542
| Urupan de Pando | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
148.7 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -4.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points148.7Urupan de Pando 71.8 · Trouville 76.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trouville (rating 1448 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Urupan de Pando: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Urupan de Pando | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.1 / 80.6 | 70.9 / 70 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.6 / 82.6 | 74.6 / 77 |
| Est. result | 72 | 77 |
Est. total148.7
Line O/U153.5
Diff.4.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urupan de Pando 4–0–2 Trouville
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 78-71 | Urupan de Pando |
| 12/03/25 Uruguay Liga | Urupan de Pando | 85-79 | Trouville |
| 07/02/25 Uruguay Liga | Urupan de Pando | 97-90 | Trouville |
| 07/12/24 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 62-88 | Urupan de Pando |
| 23/03/24 Uruguay Liga | Urupan de Pando | 87-95 | Trouville |
| 12/01/24 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 53-85 | Urupan de Pando |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1551 | 1378 | 34 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1589 | 1399 | 34 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1464 | 1379 | 32 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1444 | 1314 | 32 |
| 5 | Lagomar | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1446 | 1449 | 30 |
| 6 | Tabare | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1509 | 1445 | 28 |
| 7 | Sayago | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1442 | 1455 | 28 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1448 | 1521 | 27 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Urupan de Pando | Trouville |
|---|---|---|
| Verdirrojo | 77-76 W | 69-72 L |
| Tabare | 65-89 L | 92-79 W |
| Sayago | 63-64 L | 38-30 W |
| Olimpia | 63-97 L | 75-73 W |
| Lagomar | 80-87 L | 83-80 W |
| Stockolmo | 74-85 L | 54-81 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Trouville (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urupan de Pando
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-76 | W |
| 19/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
65-89 | L |
| 15/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-64 | L |
| 11/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-97 | L |
| 08/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-87 | L |
| 05/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-85 | L |
| 29/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
100-97 | W |
| 26/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-71 | L |
| 24/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
55-66 | L |
| 21/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-74 | W |
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-80 | W |
| 18/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-81 | L |
| 14/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-73 | W |
| 11/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-72 | L |
| 08/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-79 | W |
| 01/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
38-30 | W |
| 28/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-93 | L |
| 22/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-64 | W |
| 18/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-50 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urupan de Pando vs Trouville?
Our model gives 64% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Urupan de Pando vs Trouville?
The model estimates 148.7 total points (Urupan de Pando 71.8 · Trouville 76.8).