Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Zaragoza vs Girona

Team pages: Zaragoza · Girona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.6Total

Zaragoza91

Girona85.6

1X2

65% 35%

Zaragoza Girona

Recent form · 10 last

Zaragoza 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Girona 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zaragoza 4–2 Girona (6 last)

Girona90-81Zaragoza
Zaragoza90-94Girona
Girona89-101Zaragoza
Zaragoza96-68Girona
Girona79-89Zaragoza
Zaragoza81-74Girona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaragoza 1480 · Girona 1523

	Zaragoza	Girona
Our model	57%	43%
Market	67%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 176.6 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · -4.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.6Zaragoza 91 · Girona 85.6

Match keys

Zaragoza is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Zaragoza: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zaragoza	Girona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.3 / 92.3	85.2 / 91
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89 / 89	93 / 97.4
Est. result	91	86

Est. total176.6

Line O/U181.5

Diff.4.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.82

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.87

2 (+5.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.87

Under 181.51.87

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 177.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.82 → 2.82	Bet365 2.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
21:06 +3’	1.42	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaragoza 4–0–2 Girona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	90-81	Zaragoza
24/01/26 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	90-94	Girona
09/02/25 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	89-101	Zaragoza
29/12/24 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	96-68	Girona
12/05/24 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	79-89	Zaragoza
06/01/24 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	81-74	Girona

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	564	447
2	Tenerife	5	4	1	438	386
3	Baskonia	5	3	2	461	414
4	Valencia	5	3	2	483	444
5	Unicaja Malaga	5	3	2	441	415
6	Breogan	5	3	2	518	502
7	Barcelona	5	3	2	490	481
8	Zaragoza	5	3	2	445	445
9	Bilbao	5	3	2	476	478
10	Girona	5	3	2	465	487
11	Monbus Obradoiro	5	3	2	443	466
12	San Pablo Burgos	5	2	3	449	435
13	Joventut	5	2	3	473	468
14	UCAM Murcia	5	2	3	435	465
15	BC Andorra	5	1	4	428	468
16	Forca Lleida	5	1	4	459	516
17	Coruna	5	1	4	447	510
18	Manresa	5	0	5	423	511

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaragoza	Girona
Coruna	92-71 W	110-90 W
Breogan	95-94 W	92-115 L
UCAM Murcia	90-100 L	84-77 W
Manresa	83-101 L	74-79 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaragoza

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	81-99	L
18/10	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	109-98	W
10/10	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	92-71	W
04/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	82-97	L
27/09	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	81-80	W
29/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-94	W
26/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	86-98	L
24/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	90-100	L
16/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L
09/05	Granada Spain Liga ACB	74-85	L

Girona

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	101-87	W
18/10	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	110-90	W
10/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	92-115	L
04/10	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	78-118	L
27/09	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	84-77	W
29/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	82-77	W
24/05	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	80-86	L
16/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	76-95	L
12/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	74-79	L
09/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	75-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaragoza vs Girona?

Our model gives 65% to Zaragoza.

How many points are expected in Zaragoza vs Girona?

The model estimates 176.6 total points (Zaragoza 91 · Girona 85.6).