Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: Forca Lleida vs Baskonia

Team pages: Forca Lleida · Baskonia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

185.2Total

Forca Lleida91.2

Baskonia94

1X2

42% 58%

Forca Lleida Baskonia

Recent form · 10 last

Forca Lleida 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLLL

Baskonia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Forca Lleida 1–3 Baskonia (4 last)

Baskonia93-90Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida86-80Baskonia
Forca Lleida74-78Baskonia
Baskonia100-99Forca Lleida

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forca Lleida 1457 · Baskonia 1460

	Forca Lleida	Baskonia
Our model	62%	38%
Market	37%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 185.2 points · Bet365 line 186.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points185.2Forca Lleida 91.2 · Baskonia 94

Match keys

H2H favours Baskonia: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Forca Lleida	Baskonia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.2 / 105.9	89.5 / 83.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.4 / 108.2	93.8 / 80
Est. result	91	94

Est. total185.2

Line O/U186.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.87

2 (-4.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 186.51.80

Under 186.51.95

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 184.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
09:44 +5’	2.55	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forca Lleida 1–0–3 Baskonia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Baskonia	93-90	Forca Lleida
09/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Forca Lleida	86-80	Baskonia
26/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	Forca Lleida	74-78	Baskonia
10/11/24 Spain Liga ACB	Baskonia	100-99	Forca Lleida

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	654	526
2	Valencia	6	4	2	594	523
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	567	497
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	527	479
5	Breogan	6	4	2	628	592
6	Zaragoza	6	4	2	552	523
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	582	570
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	557	556
9	Unicaja Malaga	6	3	3	530	507
10	UCAM Murcia	6	3	3	560	563
11	Monbus Obradoiro	6	3	3	533	576
12	Girona	6	3	3	543	594
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	528	525
14	Joventut	6	2	4	551	549
15	Coruna	6	2	4	540	599
16	BC Andorra	6	1	5	507	579
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	557	641
18	Manresa	6	0	6	506	617

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forca Lleida	Baskonia
San Pablo Burgos	81-94 L	98-97 W
Valencia	105-100 W	75-84 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forca Lleida

LWLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	98-125	L
25/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	86-122	L
18/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	98-109	L
11/10	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	89-91	L
04/10	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	81-94	L
27/09	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	105-100	W
29/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	95-116	L
24/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	88-116	L
17/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	75-72	W
13/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	87-114	L

Baskonia

WWLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	106-83	W
25/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	75-84	L
18/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	77-82	L
11/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	93-73	W
04/10	Girona Spain Liga ACB	118-78	W
27/09	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	98-97	W
07/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	88-96	L
05/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	63-82	L
03/06	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	85-71	W
29/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	92-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forca Lleida vs Baskonia?

Our model gives 58% to Baskonia.

How many points are expected in Forca Lleida vs Baskonia?

The model estimates 185.2 total points (Forca Lleida 91.2 · Baskonia 94).